Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39582234›Full record

ArticleJournal of biopharmaceutical statistics2026

BOP2-TE: Bayesian optimal phase 2 design for jointly monitoring efficacy and toxicity with application to dose optimization.

Kai Chen, Heng Zhou, J Jack Lee, Ying Yuan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kai ChenDepartment of Biostatistics and Data Science, The University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Heng ZhouBiostatistics and Research Decision Sciences, Merck & Co Inc, Rahway, USA.
J Jack LeeDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Ying YuanDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Fabien Delerue · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
Tropism Enhanced Oncolytic Adenovirus for the Treatment of Brain TumorsP50CA127001 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Juan Fueyo · 2008 to 2026
$41.2M
The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in Ovarian CancerP50CA281701 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI ROBERT C BAST, ANIL K SOOD · 2023 to 2026
$11.5M
Project 3: Inhibiting Oxidative Phosphorylation in Pancreatic CancerP50CA221707 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI KOPETZ, SCOTT, MAITRA, ANIRBAN · 2019 to 2023
$11.0M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672NCI NIH HHS P50 CA127001NCI NIH HHS P50 CA221707NCI NIH HHS P50 CA281701
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We propose a Bayesian optimal phase 2 design for jointly monitoring efficacy and toxicity, referred to as BOP2-TE, to improve the operating characteristics of the BOP2 design proposed by Zhou. BOP2-TE utilizes a Dirichlet-multinomial model to jointly model the distribution of toxicity and efficacy endpoints, making go/no-go decisions based on the posterior probability of toxicity and futility. In comparison to the original BOP2 and other existing designs, BOP2-TE offers the advantage of providing rigorous type I error control in cases where the treatment is toxic and futile, effective but toxic, or safe but futile, while optimizing power when the treatment is effective and safe. As a result, BOP2-TE enhances trial safety and efficacy. We also explore the incorporation of BOP2-TE into multiple-dose randomized trials for dose optimization, and consider a seamless design that integrates phase I dose finding with phase II randomized dose optimization. BOP2-TE is user-friendly, as its decision boundary can be determined prior to the trial's onset. Simulations demonstrate that BOP2-TE possesses desirable operating characteristics. We have developed a user-friendly web application as part of the BOP2 app, which is freely available at https://www.trialdesign.org.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials, Phase II as TopicRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicResearch DesignBayes TheoremComputer SimulationDose-Response Relationship, DrugHumansModels, StatisticalTreatment OutcomeBayesian designdose optimizationgo/no go decisionmultiple-dose randomized trialsphase II trials

Identifiers

PMID39582234
PMCPMC12102293

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.