Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39575720›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2024

Projections of the Stroke Burden at the Global, Regional, and National Levels up to 2050 Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Yiran Cheng, Yongqi Lin, Hujuan Shi, Mingmei Cheng, Baoliang Zhang, Xiaofeng Liu, Chuan Shi, Yanzhong Wang, Chunhua Xia, Wanqing Xie

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07150325 (Integration of Force Control Training and Mirror Visual Feedback on Stroke Patients on Brain Activation and Hand Function), which is not on this map. Cited by 68 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07150325 nacompletednot on this map

Integration of Force Control Training and Mirror Visual Feedback on Stroke Patients on Brain Activation and Hand Function

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Cheng-Kung University HospitalRan2024 to 2025Enrolled5ConditionsStroke, Stroke PatientsArmsTIPr, Mirror Visual Feedback Device, Mirror Visual Feedback Device(Blocked mirror)
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Association of intensive blood pressure lowering with health-related quality of life after endovascular thrombectomy: a post-hoc analysis of the ENCHANTED2/MT trial.Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation · 2026
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  12. Achieved home systolic blood pressure and cardiovascular risk in older hypertensive patients.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2026
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8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yiran ChengDepartment of Psychology, School of Mental Health and Psychological Sciences Anhui Medical University Hefei China.ORCID 0009-0005-5560-8296
Yongqi LinDepartment of Intelligent Medical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering Anhui Medical University Hefei China.
Hujuan ShiDepartment of Intelligent Medical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering Anhui Medical University Hefei China.ORCID 0009-0004-9780-5901
Mingmei ChengDepartment of Intelligent Medical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering Anhui Medical University Hefei China.
Baoliang ZhangDepartment of Intelligent Medical Engineering, School of Biomedical Engineering Anhui Medical University Hefei China.ORCID 0000-0001-9331-0283
Xiaofeng LiuDepartment of Radiology & Biomedical Imaging and Biomedical Informatics & Data Science Yale University New Haven CT USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4514-2016
Chuan ShiPeking University Sixth Hospital Beijing China.ORCID 0000-0002-2627-1189
Yanzhong WangSchool of Life Course and Population Health Sciences King's College London London United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0768-1676
Chunhua XiaMedical Image Center The Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University/ Hefei No1. People's Hospital (Binhu Campus) Hefei China.
Wanqing XieDepartment of Psychology, School of Mental Health and Psychological Sciences Anhui Medical University Hefei China.ORCID 0000-0003-1862-974X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStroke is a pressing public health issue worldwide. This study aimed to forecast the future temporal trends and distribution characteristics of the global stroke burden. METHODS AND

resultsGlobal data on stroke incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years between 1990 and 2021 were obtained from the GBD (Global Burden of Disease) Study 2021. The temporal trends of stroke burden were estimated using various regression models. Gross domestic product per capita was adopted as a predictor in the model to consider the impact of economic development on stroke burden. Projections of stroke burden up to 2050 were generated using the optimal model selected based on the Akaike information criterion, encompassing global, World Bank income levels, national levels, and sex-age groups. In 2050, we projected 21.43 million stroke cases, 159.31 million survivors, 12.05 million deaths, and 224.86 million disability-adjusted life years due to stroke globally. From 2021 to 2050, there was a declining trend in the global age-adjusted stroke rates, with -7% in incidence, -4% in prevalence, -28% in deaths, and -28% in disability-adjusted life years. Upper-middle-income countries were projected to have the most severe stroke burden, followed by lower-middle-income countries, low-income countries, and high-income countries. The stroke burden in over half of the 204 countries and territories was expected to be alleviated from 2022 to 2050. Men and older women worldwide bear higher burden.

conclusionsStroke remains a serious global health challenge, especially in low-income and middle-income countries. Targeted implementation of prevention and interventions is imperative across diverse demographic groups.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthStrokeAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsChildChild, PreschoolFemaleGross Domestic ProductHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedepidemiologyGlobal Burden of Diseasegross domestic productprojectionsstroke

Identifiers

PMID39575720
PMCPMC11681572

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.