Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39570670›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

HIV-1 Low-Level Viremia Predicts Viral Failure in Participants on Antiretroviral Therapy in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study.

Caroline Lanz, Jan Meier, Marcel Stöckle, Hansjakob Furrer, Alexandra Calmy, Matthias Cavassini, Enos Bernasconi, Patrick Schmid, Dominique L Braun, Roger D Kouyos and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Caroline LanzDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Jan MeierInstitute of Medical Virology, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Marcel StöckleDivision of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0088-5078
Hansjakob FurrerDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1375-3146
Alexandra CalmyDivision of Infectious Diseases, HIV/AIDS Unit, University Hospital Geneva, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1137-6826
Matthias CavassiniDivision of Infectious Diseases, University Hospital Lausanne, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-0933-7833
Enos BernasconiDivision of Infectious Diseases, Ente Ospedaliero Cantonale, University of Geneva and University of Southern Switzerland, Lugano, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9724-8373
Patrick SchmidDivision of Infectious Diseases, Infection Prevention and Travel Medicine, Department General Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital St Gallen, St Gallen, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1978-5082
Dominique L BraunDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Roger D KouyosDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Tom LoosliDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Katharina KusejkoDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4638-1940
Huldrych F GünthardDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hospital Epidemiology, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Swiss HIV Cohort Study

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost individuals receiving combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) have human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) plasma viral loads below the limit of detection. However, episodes of low-level viremia (LLV) are observed in subsets of individuals, the risk factors and clinical significance of which remain debated.

methodsWe included participants enrolled in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study, starting ART between July 1999 and April 2023, with HIV RNA values <200 copies/mL 6 months after ART initiation. Using longitudinally collected data, we applied a time-updated Cox proportional hazards model to determine the association of LLV with the risk of subsequent viral failure, defined as ≥200 copies/mL. LLV was quantified by the time-updated area under the curve (AUC) of HIV RNA values, categorized as undetectable or, based on AUC tertiles, low, intermediate, or high.

resultsWe included 8132 participants with a total of 49 579 person-years of follow-up. The median follow-up time was 4.7 years, and the median number of HIV RNA measurements was 16. Participants had a median age of 38 years, 75.9% were male, 74.4% were white, and 45.9% had HIV-1 subtype B. LLV was associated with an increased risk of subsequent viral failure, with the highest LLV category showing the strongest association (hazard ratio, 3.3 [for comparison with undetectable viral load]) among all included variables, including race/ethnicity, age, and ART.

conclusionsLLV was strongly associated with risk of subsequent viral failure, even after adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics, including adherence and treatment regimen. The detection of LLV should prompt appropriate measures to decrease the risk of subsequent viral failure.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV-1HIV InfectionsViremiaAdultArea Under CurveDrug Therapy, CombinationFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesRNA, ViralTreatment FailureAnti-HIV AgentsRNA, Viralantiretroviral therapylongitudinal studylow-level viremiatreatment guidelinesviral failure

Identifiers

PMID39570670
PMCPMC12314502

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.