Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39569400›Full record

ArticleOxford open neuroscience2024

Machine learning-based prediction of one-year mortality in ischemic stroke patients.

Ahmad Abujaber, Said Yaseen, Yahia Imam, Abdulqadir Nashwan, Naveed Akhtar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Oxford open neuroscience, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ahmad AbujaberNursing Department, Hamad Medical Corporation (HMC), 3050 Doha, Qatar.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8704-4991
Said YaseenSchool of Medicine, Jordan University of Science and Technology, 22110 Irbid, Jordan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-4563-7694
Yahia ImamNeurology Section, Neuroscience Institute, Hamad Medical Corporation (HMC), 3050 Doha, Qatar.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4623-733X
Abdulqadir NashwanNursing Department, Hamad Medical Corporation (HMC), 3050 Doha, Qatar.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4845-4119
Naveed AkhtarNeuroradiology Department, Neuroscience Institute, Hamad Medical Corporation (HMC), 3050 Doha, Qatar.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate prediction of mortality following an ischemic stroke is essential for tailoring personalized treatment strategies. This study evaluates the effectiveness of machine learning models in predicting one-year mortality after an ischemic stroke.

methodsFive machine learning models were trained using data from a national stroke registry, with logistic regression demonstrating the highest performance. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis explained the model's outcomes and defined the influential predictive factors.

resultsAnalyzing 8183 ischemic stroke patients, logistic regression achieved 83% accuracy, 0.89 AUC, and an F1 score of 0.83. Significant predictors included stroke severity, pre-stroke functional status, age, hospital-acquired pneumonia, ischemic stroke subtype, tobacco use, and co-existing diabetes mellitus (DM). DISCUSSION: The model highlights the importance of predicting mortality in enhancing personalized stroke care. Apart from pneumonia, all predictors can serve the early prediction of mortality risk which supports the initiation of early preventive measures and in setting realistic expectations of disease outcomes for all stakeholders. The identified tobacco paradox warrants further investigation.

conclusionThis study offers a promising tool for early prediction of stroke mortality and for advancing personalized stroke care. It emphasizes the need for prospective studies to validate these findings in diverse clinical settings.

Indexed as

early predictionischemic strokemachine learningmortalitypersonalized medicine

Identifiers

PMID39569400
PMCPMC11576476

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.