Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39568959›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2024

Fire, environmental and anthropogenic controls on pantropical tree cover.

Douglas I Kelley, France Gerard, Ning Dong, Chantelle Burton, Arthur Argles, Guangqi Li, Rhys Whitley, Toby R Marthews, Eddy Roberston, Graham P Weedon and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Douglas I KelleyUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1413-4969
France GerardUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB UK.
Ning DongCollege of Resources and Environment, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, 430070 China.ORCID 0000-0003-0793-8854
Chantelle BurtonMet Office Hadley Centre for Climate Science and Services, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0201-5727
Arthur ArglesMet Office Hadley Centre for Climate Science and Services, Exeter, UK.
Guangqi LiDepartment of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK.
Rhys WhitleyNatural Perils Pricing, Consumer Insurance, Suncorp, Sydney, Australia.
Toby R MarthewsUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB UK.
Eddy RoberstonMet Office Hadley Centre for Climate Science and Services, Exeter, UK.
Graham P WeedonMet Office, Joint Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Research (JCHMR), Crowmarsh Gifford, Wallingford, Oxfordshire OX10 8BB UK.
Gitta LasslopSenckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Frankfurt, Germany.
Richard J EllisUK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB UK.
Ioannis BistinasCognizant Benelux BV, Paul van Vlissingenstraat 10, 1096BK Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Elmar VeenendaalPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8230-2501

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Explaining tropical tree cover distribution in areas of intermediate rainfall is challenging, with fire's role in limiting tree cover particularly controversial. We use a novel Bayesian approach to provide observational constraints on the strength of the influence of humans, fire, rainfall seasonality, heat stress, and wind throw on tropical tree cover. Rainfall has the largest relative impact on tree cover (11.6-39.6%), followed by direct human pressures (29.8-36.8%), heat stress (10.5-23.3%) and rainfall seasonality (6.3-22.8%). Fire has a smaller impact (0.2-3.2%) than other stresses, increasing to 0.3-5.2% when excluding human influence. However, we found a potential vulnerability of eastern Amazon and Indonesian forests to fire, with up to 2% forest loss for a 1% increase in burnt area. Our results suggest that vegetation models should focus on fire development for emerging fire regimes in tropical forests and revisit the linkages between rainfall, non-fire disturbances, land use and broad-scale vegetation distributions.

Indexed as

BiogeographyCarbon cycleClimate-change ecologyEnvironmental impact

Identifiers

PMID39568959
PMCPMC11573711

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.