Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39565312›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Predicting multiple conformations of ligand binding sites in proteins suggests that AlphaFold2 may remember too much.

Maria Lazou, Omeir Khan, Thu Nguyen, Dzmitry Padhorny, Dima Kozakov, Diane Joseph-McCarthy, Sandor Vajda

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Bias in the AlphaFold3 prediction of ligand-induced domain motion in enzymes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
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  14. Article
  15. Modeling Alternative Conformational States in CASP16.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Predicting multiple conformations of ligand binding sites in proteins suggests that AlphaFold2 may remember too much.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Maria LazouDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0009-0003-6443-8060
Omeir KhanDepartment of Chemistry, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0000-0002-5822-1549
Thu NguyenDepartment of Computer Science, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794.
Dzmitry PadhornyDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794.
Dima KozakovDepartment of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794.ORCID 0000-0003-0464-4500
Diane Joseph-McCarthyDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0000-0001-9685-6177
Sandor VajdaDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215.ORCID 0000-0003-1540-8220

Funding

Analysis and Prediction of Molecular InteractionsR35GM118078 · NIGMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY (CHARLES RIVER CAMPUS) · PI SANDOR VAJDA · 2016 to 2026
$6.5M
Solvation modeling for next-gen biomolecule simulationsRM1GM135136 · NIGMS · STATE UNIVERSITY NEW YORK STONY BROOK · PI COUTSIAS, EVANGELOS A., DILL, KEN A · 2020 to 2024
$6.0M
HHS | NIH | National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) R35GM118078HHS | NIH | National Institute of General Medical Sciences (NIGMS) RM1135136NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM118078
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The goal of this paper is predicting the conformational distributions of ligand binding sites using the AlphaFold2 (AF2) protein structure prediction program with stochastic subsampling of the multiple sequence alignment (MSA). We explored the opening of cryptic ligand binding sites in 16 proteins, where the closed and open conformations define the expected extreme points of the conformational variation. Due to the many structures of these proteins in the Protein Data Bank (PDB), we were able to study whether the distribution of X-ray structures affects the distribution of AF2 models. We have found that AF2 generates both a cluster of open and a cluster of closed models for proteins that have comparable numbers of open and closed structures in the PDB and not too many other conformations. This was observed even with default MSA parameters, thus without further subsampling. In contrast, with the exception of a single protein, AF2 did not yield multiple clusters of conformations for proteins that had imbalanced numbers of open and closed structures in the PDB, or had substantial numbers of other structures. Subsampling improved the results only for a single protein, but very shallow MSA led to incorrect structures. The ability of generating both open and closed conformations for six out of the 16 proteins agrees with the success rates of similar studies reported in the literature. However, we showed that this partial success is due to AF2 "remembering" the conformational distributions in the PDB and that the approach fails to predict rarely seen conformations.

Indexed as

Databases, ProteinProtein ConformationProteinsBinding SitesComputational BiologyCrystallography, X-RayLigandsModels, MolecularProtein BindingSequence AlignmentSoftwareLigandsProteinsbinding hot spotconformational changemachine learningprotein mappingprotein structure prediction

Identifiers

PMID39565312
PMCPMC11621821

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.