Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39556759›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

North Atlantic and the Barents Sea variability contribute to the 2023 extreme fire season in Canada.

Guanyu Liu, Jing Li, Xichen Li, Tong Ying

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Identifying air quality monitoring deserts in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  2. Novel wildfire regimes under climate change and human activity: patterns, driving mechanisms and ecological impacts.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Guanyu LiuDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2202-4746
Jing LiDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Xichen LiInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China.
Tong YingDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

Funding

MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 41975023MOST | National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 42175144
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the late spring to summer season of 2023, Canada witnessed unprecedented wildfires, with an extensive burning area and smoke spreading as far as the East Coast of the United States and Europe. Here, using multisource data analysis and climate model simulations, we show that an abnormally warm North Atlantic, as well as an abnormally low Barents Sea ice concentration (SIC), are likely key climate drivers of this Canadian fire season, contributing to ~80% of the fire weather anomaly over Canada from June to August 2023. Specifically, the warm North Atlantic forms an anomalous regional zonal cell with ascending air over the Atlantic and descending air encircling Canada, creating hot and dry local conditions. Meanwhile, reduced Barents SIC leads to a high-pressure center and reinforces the dry northern winds in Canada through Rossby wave dynamics. These exacerbated dry and hot conditions create a favorable environment for the ignition and spread of fires, thus contributing to the prolonged and extreme fire season in Canada. These teleconnections can extend to decadal scales and have important implications for understanding and predicting decadal fire activity in Canada and the surrounding regions.

Indexed as

Canadacontributionextreme firenature variabilityteleconnection

Identifiers

PMID39556759
PMCPMC11626121

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.