Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39555185›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.)2024

Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A multicountry multicommunity observational study spanning 1986-2015.

Daewon Yang, Masahiro Hashizume, Aurelio Tobías, Yasushi Honda, Dominic Roye, Jaemin Oh, Tran Ngoc Dang, Yoonhee Kim, Rosana Abrutzky, Yuming Guo and 51 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

61 authors.

Daewon YangDepartment of Information and Statistics, Chungnam National University, Daejeon, South Korea.
Masahiro HashizumeDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Aurelio TobíasSchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Yasushi HondaFaculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.
Dominic RoyeClimate Research Foundation (FIC), Madrid, Spain.
Jaemin OhDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, South Korea.
Tran Ngoc DangFaculty of Public Health, University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Yoonhee KimDepartment of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Rosana AbrutzkyUniversidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Yuming GuoDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Shilu TongSchool of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio CoelhoDepartment of Pathology, University of Sao Paulo School of Medicine, São Paulo, Brazil.
Paulo Hilario Nascimento SaldivaInstitute of Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Eric LavigneSchool of Epidemiology & Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.
Patricia Matus CorreaDepartment of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile.
Nicolás Valdés OrtegaDepartment of Public Health, Universidad de los Andes, Santiago, Chile.
Samuel OsorioDepartment of Environmental Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Jan KyselýInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
Aleš UrbanInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
Hans OrruInstitute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Ene IndermitteInstitute of Family Medicine and Public Health, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.
Jouni JaakkolaCenter for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH), Research Unit of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Niilo RytiCenter for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH), Research Unit of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Mathilde PascalSanté Publique France, Department of Environmental Health, French National Public Health Agency, Saint Maurice, France.
Veronika HuberIBE-Chair of Epidemiology, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
Alexandra SchneiderInstitute of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Zentrum München - German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Neuherberg, Germany.
Klea KatsouyanniDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Antonis AnalitisDepartment of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.
Alireza EntezariClimatology Research Group, Institute of Landscape Ecology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany.
Fatemeh MayvanehClimatology Research Group, Institute of Landscape Ecology, University of Münster, Münster, Germany.
Patrick GoodmanSchool of Physics, Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Ariana ZekaInstitute of Environment, Health and Societies, Brunel University London, London, United Kingdom.
Paola MichelozziDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma1, Rome, Italy.
Francesca de'DonatoDepartment of Epidemiology, Lazio Regional Health Service, ASL Roma1, Rome, Italy.
Barrak AlahmadDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.
Magali Hurtado DiazDepartment of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
César De la Cruz ValenciaDepartment of Environmental Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
Ala OvercencoLaboratory of Management in Science and Public Health, National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health, Chisinau, Republic of Moldova.
Danny HouthuijsNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health, Bilthoven, Netherlands.
Caroline AmelingNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health, Bilthoven, Netherlands.
Shilpa RaoNorwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Baltazar NunesDepartment of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal.
Joana MadureiraDepartment of Environmental Health, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge, Porto, Portugal.
Iulian Horia Holo-BâcFaculty of Geography, Babes-Bolay University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
Noah ScovronickDepartment of Environmental Health. Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Fiorella AcquaottaDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Torino, Torino, Italy.
Ho KimGraduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.
Whanhee LeeSchool of Biomedical Convergence Engineering, Pusan National University, Yangsan, South Korea.
Carmen ÍñiguezDepartment of Statistics and Computational Research, Universitat de València, València, Spain.
Bertil ForsbergDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Ana Maria Vicedo-CabreraInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Martina S RagettliUniversity of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Yue-Liang Leon GuoEnvironmental and Occupational Medicine, National Taiwan University (NTU) College of Medicine and NTU Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
Shih Chun PanInstitute of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences, National Taiwan University College of Public Health, Taipei, Taiwan.
Shanshan LiDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Francesco SeraDepartment of Statistics, Informatics, Applications, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Antonella ZanobettiDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.
Joel SchwartzDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, Massachusetts.
Ben ArmstrongEnvironment & Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Antonio GasparriniEnvironment & Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Yeonseung ChungDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, South Korea.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R013349/1Medical Research Council MR/V034162/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) or MMT percentile (MMTP) is an indicator of population susceptibility to nonoptimum temperatures. MMT and MMTP change over time; however, the changing directions show region-wide heterogeneity. We examined the heterogeneity of temporal changes in MMT and MMTP across multiple communities and in multiple countries. Methods: Daily time-series data for mortality and ambient mean temperature for 699 communities in 34 countries spanning 1986-2015 were analyzed using a two-stage meta-analysis. First, a quasi-Poisson regression was employed to estimate MMT and MMTP for each community during the designated subperiods. Second, we pooled the community-specific temporally varying estimates using mixed-effects meta-regressions to examine temporal changes in MMT and MMTP in the entire study population, as well as by climate zone, geographical region, and country. Results: Temporal increases in MMT and MMTP from 19.5 °C (17.9, 21.1) to 20.3 °C (18.5, 22.0) and from the 74.5 (68.3, 80.6) to 75.0 (71.0, 78.9) percentiles in the entire population were found, respectively. Temporal change was significantly heterogeneous across geographical regions ( Conclusions: The temporal change in MMT or MMTP was largely heterogeneous. Population susceptibility in terms of optimum temperature may have changed under a warming climate, albeit with large region-dependent variations.

Indexed as

Climate changeHeterogeneityHuman adaptationMinimum mortality temperatureTemporal change

Identifiers

PMID39555185
PMCPMC11567688

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.