Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39551579›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2024

Development and validation of a clinical prediction tool to estimate survival in community-dwelling adults living with dementia: a protocol.

Michael Bonares, Stacey Fisher, Anna Clarke, Katie Dover, Kieran Quinn, Nathan Stall, Sarina Isenberg, Peter Tanuseputro, Wenshan Li

Registry-linked trialAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06266325 (Development and Validation of a Clinical Prediction Tool to Estimate Life Expectancy in Community-dwelling Individuals With Dementia), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06266325 completednot on this map

Development and Validation of a Clinical Prediction Tool to Estimate Life Expectancy in Community-dwelling Individuals With Dementia

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of TorontoRan2010 to 2022Enrolled202,217ConditionsDementia, DeathArmsThere is no intervention. Exposures are predictor variables of mortality.
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Michael BonaresDepartment of Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada michael.bonares@mail.utoronto.ca.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4552-920X
Stacey FisherOttawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Anna ClarkeICES uOttawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Katie DoverOttawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Kieran QuinnDepartment of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1681-5170
Nathan StallDepartment of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Sarina IsenbergBruyère Research Institute, Ottawa, Department of Medicine, Canada.
Peter TanuseputroDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, People's Republic of China.
Wenshan LiOttawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionA clinical prediction tool to estimate life expectancy in community-dwelling individuals living with dementia could inform healthcare decision-making and prompt future planning. An existing Ontario-based tool for community-dwelling elderly individuals does not perform well in people living with dementia specifically. This study seeks to develop and validate a clinical prediction tool to estimate survival in community-dwelling individuals living with dementia receiving home care in Ontario, Canada. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This will be a population-level retrospective cohort study that will use data in linked healthcare administrative databases at ICES. Specifically, data that are routinely collected from regularly administered assessments for home care will be used. Community-dwelling individuals living with dementia receiving home care at any point between April 2010 and March 2020 will be included (N≈200 000). The model will be developed in the derivation cohort (N≈140 000), which includes individuals with a randomly selected home care assessment between 2010 and 2017. The outcome variable will be survival time from index assessment. The selection of predictor variables will be fully prespecified and literature/expert-informed. The model will be estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. The model's performance will be assessed in a temporally distinct validation cohort (N≈60 000), which includes individuals with an assessment between 2018 and 2020. Overall performance will be assessed using Nagelkerke's R ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study received research ethics board approval from the Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre (SUN-6138). Abstracts of the project will be submitted to academic conferences, and a manuscript thereof will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal for publication. The model will be disseminated on a publicly accessible website (www.projectbiglife.com). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT06266325 (clinicaltrials.gov).

Indexed as

DementiaIndependent LivingAgedFemaleHome Care ServicesHumansLife ExpectancyMaleObservational Studies as TopicOntarioProportional Hazards ModelsResearch DesignRetrospective StudiesClinical Decision-MakingDementiaGERIATRIC MEDICINEMortalityPALLIATIVE CAREPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID39551579
PMCPMC11574448

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.