Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39543484›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2024

Predicting persistent back pain causing severe interference with daily activities among community-dwelling older adults: the OPAL cohort study.

Esther Williamson, Maria T Sanchez-Santos, Jeremy Fairbank, Lianne Wood, Sarah E Lamb

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Esther WilliamsonNuffield Department of Rheumatology, Orthopaedics and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. esther.williamson@ndorms.ox.ac.uk.
Maria T Sanchez-SantosNuffield Department of Rheumatology, Orthopaedics and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Jeremy FairbankNuffield Department of Rheumatology, Orthopaedics and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Lianne WoodFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Sarah E LambFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

Funding

National Institute of Health Research PTC-RP-PG-0213-20002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMany older adults experience disabling back and leg pain. This study aimed to identify factors associated with back pain causing severe interference with daily activities over 2 years.

methodsParticipants were 2,109 community-dwelling adults (aged 65-100 years; mean age 74.2 (SD 6.3)) enrolled in a prospective cohort study who reported back pain at baseline and provided back pain data at 2 years follow-up. Baseline data included demographics, socio-economic factors, back pain presentation and age-associated adverse health states (e.g. frailty, falls, walking confidence). At 2 years follow-up, we asked if they were currently experiencing back pain and if so, asked participants to rate how much their back pain interfered with their daily activities on a scale of 0-10. Severe back pain interference was defined by a rating of 7 or more. The association between baseline factors and severe back pain interference at two years was assessed using logistic regression models.

resultsAt two years, 77% of participants (1,611/2,109) still reported back pain, 25% (544/2,083) also reported leg pain and 14% (227/1,611) reported severe back pain interference with activities. Improvements in symptoms were observed over the two years follow-up in 880/2,109 participants (41.7%), 41.2% (869/2,109) of participants report no change and worsening symptoms was reported by 17.1% (360/2109) of participants. After adjusting for back pain troublesomeness at baseline, factors associated with reporting severe interference were adequacy of income (careful with money [OR 1.91; 95% CI 1.19-3.06]; prefer not to say [OR 2.22; 95% CI 1.11-4.43]), low endorsement of exercise in later life (OR 1.18; 95% CI 1.02-1.37), neurogenic claudication symptoms (OR 1.68 (95% CI 1.15-2.46)], multisite pain (OR 1.13; 95% CI 1.02-1.24) and low walking confidence (OR 1.15; 95% CI 1.08-1.22).

conclusionAfter adjusting for baseline pain severity, we identified five factors that were associated with severe pain limitation at two years follow-up among a cohort of community dwelling older people reporting back and leg pain. These included other pain characteristics, walking confidence and attitude to activity in later life. We also identified a socioeconomic factor (perceived adequacy of income). Future research should focus on whether identifying individuals using these risk factors in order to intervene improves back pain outcomes for older people.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingBack PainIndependent LivingAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMalePain MeasurementProspective StudiesBack painDisabilityLeg painNeurogenic claudicationOlder adults

Identifiers

PMID39543484
PMCPMC11566404

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.