Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39542968›Full record

ArticleLa Radiologia medica2025

Improved prognostication of overall survival after radiotherapy in lung cancer patients by an interpretable machine learning model integrating lung and tumor radiomics and clinical parameters.

Tianchen Luo, Meng Yan, Meng Zhou, Andre Dekker, Ane L Appelt, Yongling Ji, Ji Zhu, Dirk de Ruysscher, Leonard Wee, Lujun Zhao and 1 more

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Article in La Radiologia medica, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

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10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Tianchen Luo *Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310022, China.
Meng Yan *Department of Radiation Oncology, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, 300060, China.
Meng ZhouDepartment of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW Research Institute for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Andre DekkerDepartment of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW Research Institute for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Ane L AppeltLeeds Institute of Medical Research at St James's, University of Leeds, and Leeds Cancer Centre, St James's University Hospital, Leeds, UK.
Yongling JiZhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310022, China.
Ji ZhuZhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310022, China.
Dirk de RuysscherDepartment of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW Research Institute for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Leonard WeeDepartment of Radiation Oncology (Maastro), GROW Research Institute for Oncology and Reproduction, Maastricht University Medical Centre+, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Lujun ZhaoDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin, 300060, China. zhaolujun@tjmuch.com.
Zhen ZhangZhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou Institute of Medicine (HIM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310022, China. zhen.zhang@maastro.nl.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6335-9529

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China No. 81903121
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate prognostication of overall survival (OS) for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving definitive radiotherapy (RT) is crucial for developing personalized treatment strategies. This study aims to construct an interpretable prognostic model that combines radiomic features extracted from normal lung and from primary tumor with clinical parameters. Our model aimed to clarify the complex, nonlinear interactions between these variables and enhance prognostic accuracy.

methodsWe included 661 stage III NSCLC patients from three multi-national datasets: a training set (N = 349), test-set-1 (N = 229), and test-set-2 (N = 83), all undergoing definitive RT. A total of 104 distinct radiomic features were separately extracted from the regions of interest in the lung and the tumor. We developed four predictive models using eXtreme gradient boosting and selected the top 10 features based on the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values. These models were the tumor radiomic model (Model-T), lung radiomic model (Model-L), a combined radiomic model (Model-LT), and an integrated model incorporating clinical parameters (Model-LTC). Model performance was evaluated through Harrell's concordance index, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. Interpretability was assessed using the SHAP framework.

resultsModel-LTC exhibited superior performance, with notable predictive accuracy (C-index: training set, 0.87; test-set-2, 0.76) and time-dependent AUC above 0.75. Complex nonlinear relationships and interactions were evident among the model's variables.

conclusionThe integration of radiomic and clinical factors within an interpretable framework significantly improved OS prediction. The SHAP analysis provided insightful interpretability, enhancing the model's clinical applicability and potential for aiding personalized treatment decisions.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsMachine LearningAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesTomography, X-Ray ComputedExplainable AILung cancerPrognosisRadiomicsSHAP

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.