Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39542432›Full record

ArticleJournal of chemical information and modeling2024

UNIQUE: A Framework for Uncertainty Quantification Benchmarking.

Jessica Lanini, Minh Tam Davide Huynh, Gaetano Scebba, Nadine Schneider, Raquel Rodríguez-Pérez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of chemical information and modeling, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jessica LaniniNovartis Biomedical Research, Novartis Campus, 4002 Basel, Switzerland.
Minh Tam Davide HuynhNovartis Biomedical Research, Novartis Campus, 4002 Basel, Switzerland.
Gaetano ScebbaNovartis Biomedical Research, Novartis Campus, 4002 Basel, Switzerland.
Nadine SchneiderNovartis Biomedical Research, Novartis Campus, 4002 Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-5824-2764
Raquel Rodríguez-PérezNovartis Biomedical Research, Novartis Campus, 4002 Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2992-3402

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) models have become key in decision-making for many disciplines, including drug discovery and medicinal chemistry. ML models are generally evaluated prior to their usage in high-stakes decisions, such as compound synthesis or experimental testing. However, no ML model is robust or predictive in all real-world scenarios. Therefore, uncertainty quantification (UQ) in ML predictions has gained importance in recent years. Many investigations have focused on developing methodologies that provide accurate uncertainty estimates for ML-based predictions. Unfortunately, there is no UQ strategy that consistently provides robust estimates about model's applicability on new samples. Depending on the dataset, prediction task, and algorithm, accurate uncertainty estimations might be unfeasible to obtain. Moreover, the optimum UQ metric also varies across applications, and previous investigations have shown a lack of consistency across benchmarks. Herein, the UNIQUE (UNcertaInty QUantification bEnchmarking) framework is introduced to facilitate a comparison of UQ strategies in ML-based predictions. This Python library unifies the benchmarking of multiple UQ metrics, including the calculation of nonstandard UQ metrics (combining information from the dataset and model), and provides a comprehensive evaluation. In this framework, UQ metrics are evaluated for different application scenarios, e.g., eliminating the predictions with the lowest confidence or obtaining a reliable uncertainty estimate for an acquisition function. Taken together, this library will help to standardize UQ investigations and evaluate new methodologies.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAlgorithmsDrug DiscoveryUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID39542432
PMCPMC11600502

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.