Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39539803›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental research communications2024

The impacts of climate change on violent conflict risk: a review of causal pathways.

Xiaolan Xie, Mengmeng Hao, Fangyu Ding, Jürgen Scheffran, Tobias Ide, Jean-François Maystadt, Yushu Qian, Qian Wang, Shuai Chen, Jiajie Wu and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental research communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Xiaolan XieSchool of Geography & Environmental Science,Guizhou Normal University, Guiyang, 550001, People's Republic of China.
Mengmeng HaoInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.
Fangyu DingInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1821-531X
Jürgen ScheffranInstitute of Geography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, Hamburg 20144, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7171-3062
Tobias IdeHarry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Perth, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8401-2372
Jean-François MaystadtIRES/LIDAM, UCLouvain, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7832-1056
Yushu QianInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.
Qian WangCentre for Tropical Medicine, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.
Shuai ChenInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.
Jiajie WuInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.
Kai SunGeoAI Lab, Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, United States of America.
Tian MaInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.
Dong JiangInstitute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, People's Republic of China.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The potential impacts of climate change on violent conflict are high on the agenda of scholars and policy makers. This article reviews existing literature to clarify the relationship between climate change and conflict risk, focusing on the roles of temperature and precipitation. While some debate remains, substantial evidence shows that climate change increases conflict risk under specific conditions. We examine four key pathways through which climate affects conflict: (i) economic shocks, (ii), agricultural decline, (iii) natural resources competition, and (iv) migration. Key gaps include limited long-term data, insufficient integrated studies, and the inadequate understanding of causal mechanisms, necessitating transdisciplinary research that addresses social vulnerability and underlying pathways.

Indexed as

causal pathwaysclimate changeviolent conflict risk

Identifiers

PMID39539803
PMCPMC11555642

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.