Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39538121›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2024

Construction and validation of a nomogram prediction model for the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation following percutaneous coronary intervention in acute myocardial infarction patients.

Li-Xiang Zhang, Jiao-Yu Cao, Xiao-Juan Zhou

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Li-Xiang ZhangDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 1, Swan Lake Road, Hefei, Anhui Province, 230001, China.
Jiao-Yu CaoDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 1, Swan Lake Road, Hefei, Anhui Province, 230001, China.
Xiao-Juan ZhouDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Science and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 1, Swan Lake Road, Hefei, Anhui Province, 230001, China. 3268584430@qq.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe objective of this study was to investigate risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) post-percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), aiming to develop a predictive nomogram for NOAF risk.

methodsA retrospective cohort study involving 397 AMI patients who underwent PCI at a tertiary hospital in Anhui, China, from January 2021 to July 2022 was performed. Patients were divided into NOAF (n = 63) and non-NOAF (n = 334) groups based on post-PCI outcomes. Clinical data were extracted from the hospital information system (HIS) and analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram was generated utilizing R software (version 3.6.1), with its performance evaluated through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Bootstrap resampling.

resultsIndependent risk factors for NOAF included age, left atrial diameter (LAD), Gensini score, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), alanine transaminase (ALT), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD), and ventricular rate (P < 0.05). The nomogram's ROC curve demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.925 (95% CI: 0.887-0.963), supported by a Bootstrap-verified AUC of 0.924 (95% CI: 0.883-0.954), reflecting strong discriminative capability. The calibration curve indicated a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.031 and 0.017 prior to and following Bootstrap verification, respectively, signifying robust calibration. The DCA curve illustrated that the nomogram offered optimal clinical net benefit for patients with a threshold probability of NOAF ranging from 0.01 to 0.99.

conclusionThe nomogram developed from independent risk factors for NOAF exhibits significant predictive accuracy and clinical relevance for evaluating the risk of NOAF in AMI patients following PCI, thereby enabling the identification of high-risk individuals for targeted interventions.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationDecision Support TechniquesNomogramsPercutaneous Coronary InterventionPredictive Value of TestsAgedChinaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAcute myocardial infarctionNew-onset atrial fibrillationNomogramPrediction modelRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID39538121
PMCPMC11562501

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.