Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39535862›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Cumulative psychosocial and health disparities in US adolescent cigarette smoking, 2002-2019.

Tyler G Erath, Fang Fang Chen, Michael DeSarno, Derek Devine, Adam M Leventhal, Warren K Bickel, Stephen T Higgins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Tyler G ErathVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-1487-8311
Fang Fang ChenVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, United States.
Michael DeSarnoVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, United States.
Derek DevineVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, United States.
Adam M LeventhalInstitute for Addiction Science, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, United States.
Warren K BickelFralin Biomedical Research Institute, Virginia Tech, Roanoke, VA 24016, United States.
Stephen T HigginsVermont Center on Behavior and Health, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, United States.

Funding

University of Vermont Tobacco Center of Regulatory ScienceU54DA036114 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI HIGGINS, STEPHEN T · 2018 to 2022
$19.4M
TRAINING IN BEHAV. PHARMACOLOGY OF HUMAN DRUG DEPENDENCET32DA007242 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI HEIL, SARAH H, HIGGINS, STEPHEN T · 1990 to 2025
$8.2M
Vermont Center on Behavior and HealthP30GM149331 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT & ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI Stephen T Higgins · 2023 to 2026
$5.6M
National Institute of General Medical Sciences Center of Biomedical Research Excellence P30GM149331National Institute on Drug Abuse and Food and Drug AdministrationNational Institute on Drug Abuse Institutional Training T32DA007242NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA007242NIDA NIH HHS U54 DA036114NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM149331Tobacco Centers of Regulatory Science U54DA036114
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUnderstanding disparities in adolescent cigarette smoking is important for effective prevention.

methodsWe investigated disparities in adolescent smoking based on cumulative reported psychosocial and health risk among respondents ages 12-17 years in the US National Survey of Drug Use and Health from 2002 to 2019. Multivariable regression estimated associations of cumulative risk, survey years, and their interaction predicting past-month and daily smoking. Eleven psychosocial and health variables associated with youth smoking formed composite measures of cumulative risk, categorizing risk as low (0-2), moderate (3-4), or high (≥5). The main outcomes were weighted past-month and daily smoking by cumulative risk and time, examining prevalence and proportional change across years.

resultsAmong 244 519 adolescents, greater cumulative risk predicted higher smoking prevalence across all outcomes. Compared with the low-risk category, past-month smoking odds (adjusted odds ratio) were 9.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 8.58 to 9.72) and 46.15 (95% CI = 43.38 to 49.10) times greater in the moderate-risk and high-risk categories. For daily smoking, odds were 14.11 (95% CI = 11.92 to 16.70) and 97.32 (95% CI = 83.06 to 114.03) times greater among the moderate-risk and high-risk categories. Regarding proportional change, the low-risk category exhibited the steepest decline (-85.1%) in past-month smoking from 2002-2003 to 2018-2019, followed by the moderate-risk (-79.2%) and high-risk (-65.7%) categories. Daily smoking declined more steeply among the low-risk (-96.5%) and moderate-risk (-90.5%) than high-risk category (-86.4%).

conclusionsCumulative risk is a robust predictor of adolescent smoking. Although record-setting reductions in adolescent smoking extend across risk categories, disparities favoring youth with fewer risks are evident throughout. Recognizing cumulative risk can inform the development of more targeted and effective prevention efforts.

Indexed as

Adolescent BehaviorCigarette SmokingHealth Status DisparitiesAdolescentChildFemaleHealth SurveysHumansMalePrevalenceRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39535862
PMCPMC11972670

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.