Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39533908›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2024

Large language models (LLMs) as agents for augmented democracy.

Jairo F Gudiño, Umberto Grandi, César Hidalgo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2024
    Article
  6. Large language models (LLMs) as agents for augmented democracy.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jairo F GudiñoCenter for Collective Learning, University of Toulouse & Corvinus University of Budapest , Toulouse, France.
Umberto GrandiIRIT, Université Toulouse Capitole , Toulouse, France.
César HidalgoCenter for Collective Learning, University of Toulouse & Corvinus University of Budapest , Toulouse, France.ORCID 0000-0002-6977-9492

Funding

ANREuropean Research Executive AgencyHORIZON EUROPE Climate, Energy and Mobility
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We explore an augmented democracy system built on off-the-shelf large language models (LLMs) fine-tuned to augment data on citizens' preferences elicited over policies extracted from the government programmes of the two main candidates of Brazil's 2022 presidential election. We use a train-test cross-validation set-up to estimate the accuracy with which the LLMs predict both: a subject's individual political choices and the aggregate preferences of the full sample of participants. At the individual level, we find that LLMs predict out of sample preferences more accurately than a 'bundle rule', which would assume that citizens always vote for the proposals of the candidate aligned with their self-reported political orientation. At the population level, we show that a probabilistic sample augmented by an LLM provides a more accurate estimate of the aggregate preferences of a population than the non-augmented probabilistic sample alone. Together, these results indicate that policy preference data augmented using LLMs can capture nuances that transcend party lines and represents a promising avenue of research for data augmentation. This article is part of the theme issue 'Co-creating the future: participatory cities and digital governance'.

Indexed as

DemocracyBrazilHumansLanguageModels, TheoreticalPoliticsalgorithmic democracyartificial intelligencedigital democracydigital twinsdirect democracynatural language processing

Identifiers

PMID39533908
PMCPMC11776576

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.