Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39533235›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

Global burden and cross-country health inequalities of early-onset colorectal cancer and its risk factors from 1990 to 2021 and its projection until 2036.

Jinhai Zhang, Dehua Ou, Aosi Xie, Diqun Chen, Xinxin Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. Cancer disparities: an extensive review.Ecancermedicalscience · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jinhai ZhangDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, No. 57, Changping Road, Shantou, Guangdong Province, 515041, China.
Dehua OuDepartment of Urology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, 515041, China.
Aosi XieDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, No. 57, Changping Road, Shantou, Guangdong Province, 515041, China.
Diqun ChenDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, No. 57, Changping Road, Shantou, Guangdong Province, 515041, China.
Xinxin LiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, No. 57, Changping Road, Shantou, Guangdong Province, 515041, China. xxli2023@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo explore the worldwide, regional, and country-specific burden of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) and identify its associated risk factors between 1990 and 2021, and to project its incidence and mortality rates for 2036.

methodsWe acquired data on EO-CRC categorized by gender, socio-demographic index (SDI), and risk factors based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis was utilized to explore the variation in disease burden. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was performed to forecast the disease burden up to 2036.

resultsGlobally, the incidence rate, prevalence rate, mortality rate, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate of EO-CRC were estimated at 5.37 (95%UI: 4.91 to 5.86)/100,000, 34 (95%UI: 30.96 to 37.35)/100,000, 2.01 (95%UI: 1.84 to 2.19)/100,000, and 101.37 (95%: 92.85 to 110.18)/100,000 in 2021. The prevalence and incidence rates of EO-CRC showed an ascending trajectory, whilst the DALYs and mortality rates demonstrated a downward trajectory between 1990 to 2021. The high-middle SDI regions and East Asia exhibited the highest EO-CRC burden among the five SDI regions and 21 GBD regions respectively. A low-whole-grains diet was the chief risk factor contributing to EO-CRC. It was predicted that the age-standardized rate (ASR) of EO-CRC incidence would increase by 5.56%, while the ASR of mortality would decrease by 13.9% globally until 2036.

conclusionThe current and future global burden of EO-CRC is heavy and varies significantly across different regions and countries.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthAdultAge of OnsetDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHealth Status DisparitiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsDisability-adjusted life yearsEarly-onset colorectal cancerGlobal burden of disease

Identifiers

PMID39533235
PMCPMC11556159

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.