Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39531500›Full record

SynthesisProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Susceptibility to online misinformation: A systematic meta-analysis of demographic and psychological factors.

Mubashir Sultan, Alan N Tump, Nina Ehmann, Philipp Lorenz-Spreen, Ralph Hertwig, Anton Gollwitzer, Ralf H J M Kurvers

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Susceptibility to online misinformation: A systematic meta-analysis of demographic and psychological factors.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
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  4. Article
  5. Climate change and social health.Nature human behaviour · 2026
    Review
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  9. Review
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  14. Neither inaccurate nor biased in later life: Age-related differences in the accuracy and bias of facial trustworthiness judgment.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mubashir SultanCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4499-7143
Alan N TumpCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7725-7929
Nina EhmannCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4997-9806
Philipp Lorenz-SpreenCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6319-4154
Ralph HertwigCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.
Anton GollwitzerCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0067-0018
Ralf H J M KurversCenter for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin 14195, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-3460-0392

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) 390523135Volkswagen Foundation (VolkswagenStiftung) Reclaiming Individual Autonomy and Democratic Discourse Online
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nearly five billion people use and receive news through social media and there is widespread concern about the negative consequences of misinformation on social media (e.g., election interference, vaccine hesitancy). Despite a burgeoning body of research on misinformation, it remains largely unclear who is susceptible to misinformation and why. To address this, we conducted a systematic individual participant data meta-analysis covering 256,337 unique choices made by 11,561 US-based participants across 31 experiments. Our meta-analysis reveals the impact of key demographic and psychological factors on online misinformation veracity judgments. We also disentangle the ability to discern between true and false news (discrimination ability) from response bias, that is, the tendency to label news as either true (true-news bias) or false (false-news bias). Across all studies, participants were well above-chance accurate for both true (68.51%) and false (67.24%) news headlines. We find that older age, higher analytical thinking skills, and identifying as a Democrat are associated with higher discrimination ability. Additionally, older age and higher analytical thinking skills are associated with a false-news bias (caution). In contrast, ideological congruency (alignment of participants' ideology with news), motivated reflection (higher analytical thinking skills being associated with a greater congruency effect), and self-reported familiarity with news are associated with a true-news bias (naïvety). We also find that experiments on MTurk show higher discrimination ability than those on Lucid. Displaying sources alongside news headlines is associated with improved discrimination ability, with Republicans benefiting more from source display. Our results provide critical insights that can help inform the design of targeted interventions.

Indexed as

CommunicationSocial MediaHumansanalytical thinkingillusory truth effectmisinformationpartisan biassignal detection theory

Identifiers

PMID39531500
PMCPMC11588074

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.