Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39529529›Full record

Trial reportJournal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs2024

HPV16/18 antibodies 16-years after single dose of bivalent HPV vaccination: Costa Rica HPV vaccine trial.

Carolina Porras, Byron Romero, Troy Kemp, Romain Fantin, Rolando Herrero, Allan Hildesheim, Rebeca Ocampo, Mónica S Sierra, Mitchell H Gail, John Schussler and 6 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of the National Cancer Institute. Monographs, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. [Vaccine prevention of HPV-associated diseases].Dermatologie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Immune Responses to Human Papillomavirus After Infection and Vaccination.Current topics in microbiology and immunology · 2026
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
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  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Carolina PorrasAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.ORCID 0000-0002-4592-3883
Byron RomeroAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.
Troy KempFrederick National Laboratory, Frederick, MD, USA.
Romain FantinAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.
Rolando HerreroAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.
Allan HildesheimAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.
Rebeca OcampoAgencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas, San José, Costa Rica.
Mónica S SierraDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Mitchell H GailDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
John SchusslerInformation Management Services, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
John T SchillerCenter for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Douglas R LowyCenter for Cancer Research, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Ligia A PintoFrederick National Laboratory, Frederick, MD, USA.
Danping LiuDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Aimée R KreimerDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial Study Group

Funding

GlaxoSmithKline BiologicalsNCI NIH HHS N01 CP011005NCI NIH HHS N01-CP-11005NIH HHSOffice of Research on Women's HealthUS Food and Drug Administration BB-IND 7920
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial provided initial evidence that 1 dose of the bivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine induces stabilizing antibody levels that may provide extended protection against HPV-16/18 infections. We report antibody seropositivity and stability 11 to 16 years after vaccination.

methodsWe invited a random subset of Costa Rica HPV Vaccine Trial participants (n = 398) who had received 3 doses and all women (n = 203) who had received 1 dose at 18 to 25 years of age to follow-up visits 11, 14, and 16 years after vaccination. We calculated HPV-16 and HPV-18 seropositivity and assessed change in enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay antibody levels 11 to 16 years after vaccination among 500 participants.

resultsBy year 16, 99.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 96.8% to 100.0%) and 100.0% (95% CI = 98.9% to 100.0%) of 1-dose and 3-dose recipients, respectively, were HPV-16 seropositive and 98.8% (95% CI = 95.9% to 99.9%) and 100% (95% CI = 98.9% to 100.0%) of 1-dose and 3-dose recipients, respectively, were HPV-18 seropositive. Between years 11 and 16, women who had received 3 doses had a small but statistically significant decrease in the geometric mean concentration for HPV-16 of ‒12.4% (95% CI = ‒16.3% to ‒8.4%) and HPV-18 of ‒13.4% (95% CI = ‒17.2% to ‒9.4%). Among women who had received 1 dose, the decrease was statistically significant for HPV-16 at ‒8.9 (95% CI = ‒14.2% to ‒3.1%) but nonsignificant for HPV-18. Geometric mean concentration ratios of 3:1 dose (year 16) were 3.0 and 2.2 for HPV-16 and HPV-18, respectively.

conclusionsHPV-16/18 seropositivity remained exceedingly high 16 years after vaccination. Over 5 years, small declines in antibodies were observed. Women should have protection for at least 20 years and likely much longer at the observed rate of decline.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralHuman papillomavirus 16Human papillomavirus 18Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesAdolescentAdultCosta RicaFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansVaccinationYoung AdultAntibodies, ViralPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID39529529
PMCPMC11555268

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.