ArticleTranslational cancer research2024
Nomogram for predicting 10-year postoperative recurrence of stage I gastric cancer.
Article in Translational cancer research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Survival outcomes in early gastric cancer: evidence from SEER-based population studies.Journal of gastrointestinal oncology · 2026Article
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3 authors.
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Abstract
Background: With the advancement of various auxiliary examination techniques, the detection rate of stage I gastric cancer has gradually increased, and its clinical first-choice treatment is surgery. Although patients with stage I gastric cancer generally have a good postoperative survival rate, there is still a certain probability of recurrence. Given the large number of gastric cancer cases, there is a vast population of patients with stage I disease. We are aiming to identify the risk factors for postoperative recurrence of stage I gastric cancer and to establish a reliable predictive model to assess the risk of recurrence in the population for clinical practice. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to investigate predictive factors for recurrence among stage I gastric cancer patients who underwent curative gastrectomy between 2000 and 2018. The cohort was divided into training and validation sets for the development and validation of a nomogram. Prognostic factors were evaluated through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Significant variables identified by the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots were used to construct nomograms predicting the probability of 5- and 10-year recurrence. Results: Risk factors for recurrence included sex, age, race, histology, tumor size, American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor (AJCC T) and primary site, which were used to construct the nomogram. The C-index for both the training and validation cohorts indicated that the nomogram possessed good calibration and discrimination abilities in predicting the probability of 5- and 10-year recurrence after curative surgery for stage I gastric cancer. Conclusions: This study established a reliable predictive model for recurrence following curative gastrectomy in stage I gastric cancer based on a population cohort. The findings of this study have the potential to significantly impact clinical practice by providing clinicians with tools for personalized risk assessment and for making informed treatment decisions.
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