Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39524693›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Statistical Association2024

Double Negative Control Inference in Test-Negative Design Studies of Vaccine Effectiveness.

Kendrick Qijun Li, Xu Shi, Wang Miao, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Improved Methods for Vaccine Effectiveness Studies.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Regression-Based Proximal Causal Inference.American journal of epidemiology · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. INTRODUCING PROXIMAL CAUSAL INFERENCE FOR EPIDEMIOLOGISTS.American journal of epidemiology · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kendrick Qijun LiDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan.
Xu ShiDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan.
Wang MiaoDepartment of Probability and Statistics, Peking University.
Eric Tchetgen TchetgenDepartment of Statistics and Data Science, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.

Funding

Novel Designs and Methods to Remove Hidden Confounding Bias in Health SciencesR01AG065276 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2020 to 2024
$2.4M
Theory and methods for mediation and interactionR01CA222147 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL, VANDERWEELE, TYLER · 2018 to 2022
$2.1M
Accounting for Hidden Bias in Vaccine Studies: A Negative Control FrameworkR01GM139926 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SHI, XU, TCHETGEN TCHETGEN, ERIC JOEL · 2021 to 2024
$1.5M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA222147NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065276NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM139926
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The test-negative design (TND) has become a standard approach to evaluate vaccine effectiveness against the risk of acquiring infectious diseases in real-world settings, such as Influenza, Rotavirus, Dengue fever, and more recently COVID-19. In a TND study, individuals who experience symptoms and seek care are recruited and tested for the infectious disease which defines cases and controls. Despite TND's potential to reduce unobserved differences, in healthcare seeking behavior (HSB) between vaccinated and unvaccinated subjects, it remains subject to various potential biases. First, residual confounding may remain due to unobserved HSB occupation as healthcare worker, or previous infection history. Second, because selection into the TND sample is a common consequence of infection and HSB, collider stratification bias may exist when conditioning the analysis on tested samples, which further induces confounding by latent HSB. In this paper, we present a novel approach to identify and estimate vaccine effectiveness in the target population by carefully leveraging a pair of negative control exposure and outcome variables to account for potential hidden bias in TND studies. We illustrate our proposed method with extensive simulations and an application to study COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness using data from the University of Michigan Health System.

Indexed as

Causal inferenceproximal causal inferenceselection biasunmeasured confounding

Identifiers

PMID39524693
PMCPMC11545655

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.