Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39521837›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Educational boundaries explain strength and variation in global fertility convergence.

Hanbo Wu, Luca Maria Pesando

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Hanbo WuDivision of Social Science, New York University Abu Dhabi, Saadiyat Campus, PO Box 129188, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. hanbo.wu@nyu.edu.
Luca Maria PesandoDivision of Social Science, New York University Abu Dhabi, Saadiyat Campus, PO Box 129188, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

Funding

Jacobs Foundation 2021-1417-00New York University Abu Dhabi 76-71240-ADHPG-AD405
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This paper shows that the level and timing of fertility are converging strongly over different measures of educational attainment using 65 years of data from 146 countries. Global convergence patterns are primarily driven by high-income societies, while sub-Saharan Africa is the world region that is converging most slowly, if not converging at all. Most importantly, levels of education matter heavily for explaining strength and variation in global fertility convergence, with two intersecting educational gradients suggesting: (i) stronger convergence over tertiary education followed, in turn, by secondary and primary; (ii) stronger convergence over education completed relative to education attended. Our findings provide important insights for addressing key challenges in global development and demography, and for informing policymakers as they evaluate the suitability of specific educational policies aimed at further narrowing inequalities between societies-such as supporting higher education as well as the successful completion of targeted educational cycles.

Indexed as

Educational StatusAfrica South of the SaharaBirth RateFemaleFertilityHumansSocioeconomic FactorsConvergenceEducational gradientsFertility

Identifiers

PMID39521837
PMCPMC11550852

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.