Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39511367›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2024

Machine learning for outcome prediction in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation from the GLORIA-AF registry.

Martha Joddrell, Wahbi El-Bouri, Stephanie L Harrison, Menno V Huisman, Gregory Y H Lip, Yalin Zheng, GLORIA-AFinvestigators

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Martha JoddrellLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK. m.joddrell@liverpool.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-4088-7043
Wahbi El-BouriLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2732-5927
Stephanie L HarrisonLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8846-0946
Menno V HuismanDepartment of Medicine - Thrombosis and Hemostasis, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1423-5348
Gregory Y H LipLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7566-1626
Yalin ZhengLiverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science at University of Liverpool, Liverpool John Moores University and Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7873-0922
GLORIA-AFinvestigators

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Clinical risk scores that predict outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have modest predictive value. Machine learning (ML) may achieve greater results when predicting adverse outcomes in patients with recently diagnosed AF. Several ML models were tested and compared with current clinical risk scores on a cohort of 26,183 patients (mean age 70.13 (standard deviation 10.13); 44.8% female) with non-valvular AF. Inputted into the ML models were 23 demographic variables alongside comorbidities and current treatments. For one-year stroke prediction, ML achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.653 (95% confidence interval 0.576-0.730), compared to the CHADS

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationMachine LearningRegistriesStrokeAgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedObservational Studies as TopicPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39511367
PMCPMC11544011

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.