Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39509442›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Suitability of anthrax (Bacillus anthracis) in the Black Sea basin through the scope of distribution modelling.

Margarida Arede, Alberto Allepuz, Daniel Beltran-Alcrudo, Jordi Casal, Daniel Romero-Alvarez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Margarida AredeDepartment of Animal Health and Anatomy, Veterinary Faculty, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-5489-0553
Alberto AllepuzDepartment of Animal Health and Anatomy, Veterinary Faculty, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Daniel Beltran-AlcrudoFAO, Regional Office for Europe and Central Asia, Budapest, Hungary.ORCID 0000-0002-8646-357X
Jordi CasalDepartment of Animal Health and Anatomy, Veterinary Faculty, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Daniel Romero-AlvarezDepartment of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology and Biodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-6762-6046

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Black Sea basin has a strategic geographic location bridging Asia and Europe and depends on traditional livestock practices for their local economies. Anthrax, a zoonotic bacterial disease caused by Bacillus anthracis, poses a significant global threat impacting public health, food security, pastoralist communities, and national economies. The disease is endemic or sporadic in the Black Sea basin, however, the study of its distribution has seldom been addressed, despite its burden and the presence of historical B. anthracis burial sites in the region. The viability of B. anthracis in a particular region is going to be influenced by multiple environmental factors, such as soil composition, climate, vegetation, and host abundance. For characterizing the potential distribution of B. anthracis in the Black Sea basin and assessing the potential for anthrax outbreaks, we applied an ecological niche modelling framework using the Maxent algorithm. This machine-learning algorithm models species distributions based on presence data and background information from a specified calibration region. We analyzed multiple variable combinations and proposed a novel approach for interpreting in-risk anthrax areas. Our findings underscored the importance of host abundance to the anthrax dynamics in the region. We identified anthrax-suitable areas spanning central and eastern Türkiye, Armenia, southern Georgia, southern Russia, Bulgaria, southern and eastern Romania, Hungary, Moldova, and southern Ukraine, which align with findings from previous global and regional studies on the potential suitability of anthrax. The insights gained from our research may help to develop targeted interventions, such as awareness and educational campaigns about anthrax, supervision of anthrax-infected carcasses disposal, and the promotion of livestock vaccination in high-risk areas. Additionally, these results can inform policies to mitigate the spread of anthrax in pastoralist communities in the Black Sea basin and foster collaboration between veterinary and public health entities on anthrax control.

Indexed as

AnthraxBacillus anthracisAnimalsBlack SeaDisease OutbreaksHumans

Identifiers

PMID39509442
PMCPMC11542877

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.