Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39506753›Full record

ArticleThe international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity2024

The case for investment in nutritional interventions to prevent and reduce childhood and adolescent overweight and obesity in Peru: a modelling study.

Maria Elena Ugaz, Christina L Meyer, Angela M Jackson-Morris, Daphne Wu, M Michelle Jimenez, Carlos Rojas-Davila, Carlos Orlando Zegarra Zamalloa, Elizabeth F Ludwig-Borycz, D'Arcy Williams, Jo Jewell

Abstract read
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Article in The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Maria Elena UgazUNICEF Peru, Melitón Porras 350, Lima, 15074, Peru.
Christina L MeyerRTI International, 3040 East Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, USA. cmeyer@rti.org.
Angela M Jackson-MorrisRTI International, 3040 East Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, USA.
Daphne WuRTI International, 3040 East Cornwallis Road, P.O. Box 12194, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27709-2194, USA.
M Michelle JimenezUNICEF Peru, Melitón Porras 350, Lima, 15074, Peru.
Carlos Rojas-DavilaUNICEF Peru, Melitón Porras 350, Lima, 15074, Peru.
Carlos Orlando Zegarra ZamalloaUNICEF Peru, Melitón Porras 350, Lima, 15074, Peru.
Elizabeth F Ludwig-BoryczUniversity of Michigan School for Environment and Sustainability, 440 Church St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA.
D'Arcy WilliamsUNICEF, 125 Maiden Lane, New York, NY, 10038, USA.
Jo JewellUNICEF, 125 Maiden Lane, New York, NY, 10038, USA.

Funding

This study was made possible by UNICEF, supported by a grant from Novo Nordisk. UNICEF staff members (DAW and JJ) are co-authors and contributed to the conceptualization and funding acquisition of the manuscript. This study was made possible by UNICEF, supported by a grant from Novo Nordisk. UNICEF staff members (DAW and JJ) are co-authors and contributed to the conceptualization and funding acquisition of the manuscript.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBetween 2006 and 2016 the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 5-19 years in Peru increased from 22.7 to 27.0%. This investment case quantifies the economic impacts of childhood and adolescent overweight and obesity in Peru. It identifies and quantifies the potential impact of a set of new or expanded interventions that can strengthen current national efforts to prevent and reduce child and adolescent overweight and obesity.

methodsA deterministic Markov cohort model with a societal cost perspective estimated reductions in mortality and morbidity from implementing interventions to prevent and reduce child and adolescent overweight and obesity and the impact in savings in healthcare costs and gains in wages and productivity. Interventions identified through a review of published literature includes a school-based social marketing campaign, exclusive breastfeeding promotion and support, a healthy food and drink policy for school premises, and a 20% subsidy on fruits and vegetables for people living below the national poverty line. The return on investment (ROI) was calculated along with the estimated cost savings associated with the interventions. Analysis was conducted to test ROI sensitivity to changes in the key parameters and assumptions.

resultsBetween 2025 and 2092, the expected combined direct and indirect healthcare costs attributable to child and adolescent overweight and obesity in Peru are 210.6 billion USD. The direct healthcare costs are 1.8 billion USD, and the indirect costs are 208.8 billion USD. Expected savings for all interventions combined is 13.9 billion USD with a per-person savings of 12,089.8 USD. The expected ROI of the four interventions combined is 39.3 USD (30-years), 64.6 USD (50-years), and 164.1 USD (66-years) per one USD invested.

conclusionsThe overweight and obesity epidemic among children and adolescents in Peru requires wide-ranging and expanded implementation of policies to achieve long-term reductions in prevalence. This study's findings show that the four priority interventions have high ROIs and can be used to guide policy to address the complex interplay of factors that contribute to the obesogenic environment.

Indexed as

Pediatric ObesityAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHealth Care CostsHealth PromotionHumansMaleMarkov ChainsOverweightPeruPrevalenceYoung AdultAdolescentsChildrenEconomicsInterventionsInvestmentObesityOverweightPeru

Identifiers

PMID39506753
PMCPMC11542222

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LicenceCC BY
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.