Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39492786›Full record

ArticleNeuro-oncology2025

Development and validation of a clinical risk model for postoperative outcome in newly diagnosed glioblastoma: A report of the RANO resect group.

Philipp Karschnia, Jacob S Young, Gilbert C Youssef, Antonio Dono, Levin Häni, Tommaso Sciortino, Francesco Bruno, Stephanie T Juenger, Nico Teske, Jorg Dietrich and 20 more

Abstract readValidation StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Neuro-oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Contemporary surgical strategies for resection of intracranial gliomas.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Immune Subtypes and Survival in Patients with Primary Glioma.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Philipp KarschniaDepartment of Neurosurgery, FAU University Hospital of the Friedrich-Alexander-University, Erlangen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1254-5310
Jacob S YoungDepartment of Neurosurgery & Division of Neuro-Oncology, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, US.
Gilbert C YoussefCenter for Neuro-Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, US.
Antonio DonoDepartment of Neurosurgery, McGovern Medical School at UT Health Houston, Houston, Texas, US.ORCID 0000-0002-8041-8399
Levin HäniDepartment of Neurosurgery, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, and University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Tommaso SciortinoDivision of Neuro-Oncology, Department of Oncology and Hemato-Oncology, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Francesco BrunoDivision of Neuro-Oncology, Department of Neuroscience, University of Turin, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-8087-5293
Stephanie T JuengerDepartment of Neurosurgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Nico TeskeDepartment of Neurosurgery, FAU University Hospital of the Friedrich-Alexander-University, Erlangen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7153-7994
Jorg DietrichDivision of Neuro-Oncology, Department of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, US.
Michael WellerDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital and University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1748-174X
Michael A VogelbaumDepartment of NeuroOncology, Moffitt Cancer Center, Tampa, Florida, US.
Martin van den BentDepartment of Neurology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Juergen BeckDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Niklas ThonDepartment of Neurosurgery, LMU University Hospital of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany.
Jasper K W GerritsenDepartment of Neurosurgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Shawn Hervey-JumperDepartment of Neurosurgery & Division of Neuro-Oncology, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, US.ORCID 0000-0003-4699-260X
Daniel P CahillDepartment of Neurosurgery, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, US.ORCID 0000-0003-2552-6546
Susan M ChangDepartment of Neurosurgery & Division of Neuro-Oncology, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, US.
Roberta RudàDivision of Neuro-Oncology, Department of Neuroscience, University of Turin, Italy.
Lorenzo BelloDivision of Neuro-Oncology, Department of Oncology and Hemato-Oncology, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Oliver SchnellDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Yoshua EsquenaziDepartment of Neurosurgery, McGovern Medical School at UT Health Houston, Houston, Texas, US.ORCID 0000-0002-9757-1453
Maximilian I RugeDepartment of Stereotactic and Functional Neurosurgery, Centre of Neurosurgery, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-0466-6646
Stefan J GrauKlinikum Fulda, Academic Hospital of Marburg University, Fulda, Germany.
Raymond Y HuangDivision of Neuroradiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, US.
Patrick Y WenCenter for Neuro-Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, US.
Mitchel S BergerDepartment of Neurosurgery & Division of Neuro-Oncology, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, US.ORCID 0000-0003-1983-4892
Annette M MolinaroDepartment of Neurosurgery & Division of Neuro-Oncology, University of San Francisco, San Francisco, California, US.
Joerg-Christian TonnGerman Cancer Consortium (DKTK), Partner Site Munich, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0009-0004-1756-423X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFollowing surgery, patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma frequently enter clinical trials. Nuanced risk assessment is warranted to reduce imbalances between study arms. Here, we aimed (I) to analyze the interactive effects of residual tumor with clinical and molecular factors on outcome and (II) to define a postoperative risk assessment tool.

methodsThe response assessment in neuro-oncology (RANO) resect group retrospectively compiled an international, seven-center training cohort of patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma. The combined associations of residual tumor with molecular or clinical factors and survival were analyzed, and recursive partitioning analysis was performed for risk modeling. The resulting model was prognostically verified in a separate external validation cohort.

resultsOur training cohort compromised 1003 patients with newly diagnosed isocitrate dehydrogenase-wildtype glioblastoma. Residual tumor, O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promotor methylation status, age, and postoperative Karnofsky Performance Score were prognostic for survival and incorporated into regression tree analysis. By individually weighting the prognostic factors, an additive score (range, 0-9 points) integrating these four variables distinguished patients with low (0-2 points), intermediate (3-5 points), and high risk (6-9 points) for inferior survival. The prognostic value of our risk model was retained in treatment-based subgroups and confirmed in an external validation cohort of 258 patients with glioblastoma. Compared to previously postulated models, goodness-of-fit measurements were superior for our model.

conclusionsThe novel RANO risk model serves as an easy-to-use, yet highly prognostic tool for postoperative patient stratification prior to further therapy. The model may serve to guide patient management and reduce imbalances between study arms in prospective trials.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsGlioblastomaAdultAgedDNA Repair EnzymesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm, ResidualPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSurvival RateYoung AdultDNA Repair Enzymesextent of resectionglioblastomapatient stratificationpostoperative risk modelingrisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID39492786
PMCPMC12083231

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.