ArticleNature communications2024
Climate change alters the future of natural floristic regions of deep evolutionary origins.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Projected Climate Vulnerability ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Elevational constraints and climatic buffering: comparison of Pierinae and Coliadinae across Taiwan Island and mainland China.Frontiers in zoology · 2026Article
- From Community Benefits to Vulnerabilities: Reverse-Logic Analysis of Nature-Based Solution Treescapes Across Europe.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- Projected compositional reorganization of Southern plant assemblages in South Korea under climate scenarios using species distribution models.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Ecological similarities and dissimilarities between donor and recipient regions shape global plant naturalizations.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Genotype-Specific Responses to Drought During Seed Production in Carrot: Biochemical, Physiological, and Seed Quality Evaluation.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Biogeographic regions reflect the organization of biotas over long evolutionary timescales but face alterations from recent anthropogenic climate change. Here, we model species distributions for 189,269 vascular plant species of the world under present and future climates and use this data to generate biogeographic regions based on phylogenetic dissimilarity. Our analysis reveals declines in phylogenetic beta diversity for years 2040 to 2100, leading to a future homogenization of biogeographic regions. While some biogeographic boundaries will persist, climate change will alter boundaries separating biogeographic realms. Such boundary alterations will be determined by altitude variation, heterogeneity of temperature seasonality, and past climate velocity. Our findings suggest that human activities may now surpass the geological forces that shaped floristic regions over millions of years, calling for the mitigation of climate impacts to meet international biodiversity targets.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.