ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024
Experimental coral reef communities transform yet persist under mitigated future ocean warming and acidification.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 7 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Physiological and Epigenetic Responses of the Long-Spined Sea UrchinEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- BAK knockdown delays bleaching and alleviates oxidative DNA damage in a reef-building coral.Communications biology · 2025Article
- Future of coral bleaching research.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Article
- Herbivore functions in the hot-seat: Resilience of Acanthurus triostegus to marine heatwaves.PloS one · 2025Article
- Some coral reef communities may degrade and change but persist.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Experimental coral reef communities transform yet persist under mitigated future ocean warming and acidification.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
20 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Coral reefs are among the most sensitive ecosystems affected by ocean warming and acidification, and are predicted to collapse over the next few decades. Reefs are predicted to shift from net accreting calcifier-dominated systems with exceptionally high biodiversity to net eroding algal-dominated systems with dramatically reduced biodiversity. Here, we present a two-year experimental study examining the responses of entire mesocosm coral reef communities to warming (+2 °C), acidification (-0.2 pH units), and combined future ocean (+2 °C, -0.2 pH) treatments. Contrary to modeled projections, we show that under future ocean conditions, these communities shift structure and composition yet persist as novel calcifying ecosystems with high biodiversity. Our results suggest that if climate change is limited to Paris Climate Agreement targets, coral reefs could persist in an altered state rather than collapse.
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Registered trials
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