Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39469131›Full record

ArticleInternational statistical review = Revue internationale de statistique2023

A Spatial Variance-Smoothing Area Level Model for Small Area Estimation of Demographic Rates.

Peter A Gao, Jonathan Wakefield

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International statistical review = Revue internationale de statistique, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Peter A GaoDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2856-6343
Jonathan WakefieldDepartment of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9300-8049

Funding

Scientific/Technical CoreP2CHD042828 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SARA R. CURRAN · 2017 to 2026
$6.3M
T32 Data Science and Demography Training BSSRT32HD101442 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Zack W Almquist, SARA R. CURRAN · 2020 to 2026
$2.0M
Bayesian Mortality Estimation from Disparate Data SourcesR01HD112421 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI JONATHAN C WAKEFIELD · 2023 to 2026
$1.3M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042828NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD112421NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD101442
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing policy. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct weighted estimates of small area proportions may be unreliable. Area level models treating these direct estimates as response data can improve precision but often require known sampling variances of the direct estimators for all areas. In practice, the sampling variances are estimated, so standard approaches do not account for a key source of uncertainty. To account for variability in the estimated sampling variances, we propose a hierarchical Bayesian spatial area level model for small area proportions that smooths both the estimated proportions and sampling variances to produce point and interval estimates of rates of interest. We demonstrate the performance of our approach via simulation and application to vaccination coverage and HIV prevalence data from the Demographic and Health Surveys.

Indexed as

area level modelBayesian statisticssmall area estimationspatial statisticssurvey statistics

Identifiers

PMID39469131
PMCPMC11515032

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.