Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39468483›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

The burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease in the middle east and North Africa (MENA) region over three decades.

Omar Al Ta'ani, Wesam Aleyadeh, Yazan Al-Ajlouni, Lynna Alnimer, Abdellatif Ismail, Bashar Natour, Basile Njei

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Intermittent fasting and liver disease: Insights from the Ramadan model.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association · 2026
    Article
  4. Cross-national comparison of inflammatory bowel disease burden in China, Japan, the United States, and India: An age-period-cohort analysis of GBD 2021.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Omar Al Ta'aniAllegheny Health Network, Pittsburgh, PA, USA. otaani19@gmail.com.
Wesam AleyadehCleveland Clinic Akron General, Akron, OH, USA.
Yazan Al-AjlouniSchool of Medicine, New York Medical College, New York, USA.
Lynna AlnimerProvidence Hospital, College of Human Medicine, Michigan State University, Southfield, MI, USA.
Abdellatif IsmailUniversity of Maryland Medical Center Midtown Campus, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Bashar NatourJohn H. Stroger Hospital of Cook County, Chicago, IL, USA.
Basile NjeiYale University, New Haven, CT, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCirrhosis comprises a significant health challenge in the Middle East and North African (MENA) region impacting healthcare systems and communities. This study sought to investigate trends in the burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease, different etiologies, deaths, and the disability burden utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.

methodsAnalyzing epidemiological trends from 1990 to 2021 across 21 MENA countries, this research utilized data on age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized death rates, and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to evaluate the burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease. The study also examined national variations and sociodemographic relationships.

resultsThe study identified a 114.9% increase in cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease incidence within the MENA region between 1990 and 2021, with 7,344,030 incident cases reported in 2021. The ASIR showed a steeper rise in females (9.6%) compared to males (7.0%). Etiology-specific analysis revealed an increase in the ASIR for MASLD related cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease by 22.2%, while those due to alcohol as well as hepatitis B and C decreased by 28.1%, 59.3%, and 30%, respectively. Despite the rising incidence, overall age-standardized death rates across all etiologies decreased by 54.3%, with DALYs showing a 51.4% decrease during the same period. Country-specific trends varied significantly, with Oman recording the highest annual ASIR increase (0.64%), and Qatar observing the most substantial annual reduction in age-standardized death rates (-2.88%).

conclusionThe study highlights evolving trends in cirrhosis and other chronic liver disease within the MENA region, emphasizing the necessity for comprehensive, etiology, and gender-specific interventions. Despite an increasing incidence, the observed improvements in mortality rates and age-standardized disability burden indicate progress in public health efforts to mitigate cirrhosis's impact. These findings point to the complex nature of cirrhosis outcomes and the urgent need for tailored strategies to manage its increasing burden effectively.

Indexed as

Liver CirrhosisAdultAfrica, NorthernAgedChronic DiseaseCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceLiver DiseasesMaleMiddle AgedMiddle EastYoung AdultAge-standardized incidence ratesCirrhosisEpidemiological trendsGlobal burden of DiseaseMENA region

Identifiers

PMID39468483
PMCPMC11514855

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.