Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39468279›Full record

ArticleNature human behaviour2025

Intergenerational persistence of poverty in five high-income countries.

Zachary Parolin, Rafael Pintro-Schmitt, Gøsta Esping-Andersen, Peter Fallesen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature human behaviour, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. Intergenerational poverty persistence.Nature human behaviour · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Zachary ParolinDepartment of Social and Political Sciences, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy. zachary.parolin@unibocconi.it.ORCID 0000-0003-4065-3711
Rafael Pintro-SchmittDepartment of Social and Political Sciences, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.
Gøsta Esping-AndersenDepartment of Social and Political Sciences, Bocconi University, Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5645-6750
Peter FallesenThe Rockwool Foundation, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-0544-9977

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Childhood poverty increases the likelihood of adult poverty. However, past research offers conflicting accounts of cross-national variation in the strength of-and mechanisms underpinning-the intergenerational persistence of poverty. Here the authors investigate differences in intergenerational poverty in the United States, Australia, Denmark, Germany and the United Kingdom using administrative- and survey-based panel datasets. Intergenerational poverty is decomposed into family background effects, mediation effects, tax and transfer insurance effects and a residual poverty penalty. The intergenerational persistence of poverty is 0.43 in the United States (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.40-0.46; P < 0.001), compared with 0.16 in the United Kingdom (95% CI = 0.07-0.25; P < 0.001) and 0.08 in Denmark (95% CI = 0.08-0.08; P < 0.001). The US disadvantage is not channelled through family background, mediators, neighbourhood effects or racial or ethnic discrimination. Instead, the United States has comparatively weak tax and transfer insurance effects and a more severe residual poverty penalty. If the United States were to adopt the tax and transfer insurance effects of its peer countries, its intergenerational poverty persistence could decrease by more than one-third.

Indexed as

Developed CountriesIntergenerational RelationsPovertyAdultAustraliaDenmarkFemaleGermanyHumansMaleMiddle AgedUnited KingdomUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39468279
PMCPMC11860229

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.