Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39467949›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2024

Hickam's Dictum: An Analysis of Multiple Diagnoses.

Scott K Aberegg, Brian R Poole, Brian W Locke

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Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Scott K AbereggDivision of Respiratory, Critical Care, and Occupational Pulmonary Medicine, Salt Lake City, USA. scottaberegg@gmail.com.
Brian R PooleDivision of Respiratory, Critical Care, and Occupational Pulmonary Medicine, Salt Lake City, USA.
Brian W LockeDepartment of Pulmonary and Critical Care, Intermountain Medical Center Shock Trauma ICU, Murray, UT, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHickam's dictum ("a patient can have as many diseases as he damn well pleases") has been touted as a counterargument to Ockham's razor, which enjoins clinicians to seek a single, simple, or unifying diagnosis. Yet the phenomenon of multiple diagnoses has not been formally analyzed.

methodsWe evaluated multiple diagnoses using three methods of inquiry: (1) a review of 83 case reports; (2) a review of 220 cases from the New England Journal of Medicine; and (3) an online survey of providers' intuitions.

resultsEighty-three published case reports claimed to instantiate Hickam's dictum or violate Ockham's razor. All reported a primary diagnosis that explained the presenting illness, and one or more additional diagnoses which could be classified into four categories: (1) an incidentaloma (n = 21; 25.3%); (2) a pre-existing disease (n = 26; 31.3%); (3) a disease causally linked to the primary diagnosis (n = 33, 39.8%); and (4) a causally unrelated second disease contributing to the acute presentation (n = 3, 3.6%). Among 220 cases from the New England Journal of Medicine, all reported a unifying final diagnosis. In an online survey, 265 respondents recruited using social media evaluated four hypothetical cases with multiple diagnoses representing this categorization scheme. A majority of respondents (79%; 95% CI, 74-84%) chose the case representing category 4 - a coincident, causally unrelated second diagnosis - as the most unlikely or surprising diagnostic combination.

conclusionMultiple diagnoses commonly occur. However, the majority of the multiple diagnoses we analyzed were causally linked, or represented incidentalomas or known pre-existing diseases. These diagnostic combinations were unsurprising to a majority of surveyed providers. We show that multiple diagnoses can be arranged in a framework that considers time, probability, and causation. This framework reconciles the alleged conflict between Hickam's dictum and Ockham's razor and has greater practical and pedagogical utility.

Indexed as

causationchief complaintcoincidenceincidenceincidentalomaOckham’s razorprevalenceprobabilityReichenbach’s common cause principleunifying diagnosis

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.