Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39460387›Full record

ArticleCancer science2025

Human papillomavirus vaccine to prevent CIN3 or worse (CIN3+): A nationwide case-control study in Japan.

Sayaka Ikeda, Yutaka Ueda, Asami Yagi, Taichi Mizushima, Akiko Sukegawa, Risa Kudoh, Manako Yamaguchi, Megumi Kurosawa, Etsuko Miyagi, Masayuki Sekine and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Sayaka IkedaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7948-8990
Yutaka UedaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.
Asami YagiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3222-5963
Taichi MizushimaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, Japan.
Akiko SukegawaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, Japan.
Risa KudohDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.
Manako YamaguchiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.
Megumi KurosawaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata University, Niigata, Japan.
Etsuko MiyagiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, Kanagawa, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5492-0844
Masayuki SekineDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medical Science, University of the Ryukyus, Okinawa, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0751-6395
Takayuki EnomotoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, Osaka, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4538-5541

Funding

CiDER Cross-Departmental "Infectious Diseases" Research Promotion Program
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An increase in cervical cancer incidence has been reported in Japan. The Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare of Japan has resumed the active recommendation of regular HPV vaccines in 2022. In Japan, the preventive effect of CIN3+ in the real world has not yet been demonstrated in age-adjusted cohort or case-control studies. This study aimed to estimate the effect of the HPV vaccine against CIN3+ in Japanese women. This nationwide case-control study from April 2013 to March 2020 targeted women aged 20-26 years old at the time of cervical screening. We compared HPV vaccination exposure between those with abnormal and those with normal cytology. Abnormal cytology was classified into cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN)1+, CIN2+, and CIN3+. We calculated the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the above endpoints and vaccination exposure using the conditional logistic regression model and estimated vaccine effectiveness using the formula (1 -OR) × 100. A total of 2790 cases and 13,990 controls (one-to-five matching) were eligible in 37 municipalities in Japan. In this study, 61 CIN3 (2.2%) and 10 squamous cell carcinomas (SCC) (0.4%) were found. The OR for CIN3+ versus controls was 0.14 (95% CI, 0.03-0.75), equating to a vaccine effectiveness of 86%. Of the 10 patients who had SCC none were vaccinated. This nationwide case-control study in Japan demonstrated a substantial risk reduction in CIN3+ among women who did versus those who did not receive HPV vaccination.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultCarcinoma, Squamous CellCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansJapanOdds RatioVaccinationYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccinescase–control studieshuman papillomavirus virusespapillomavirus vaccinesuterine cervical dysplasiavaccine efficacy

Identifiers

PMID39460387
PMCPMC11711036

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.