Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39459939›Full record

ArticleViruses2024

Utility of ISARIC 4C Mortality Score, Vaccination History, and Anti-S Antibody Titre in Predicting Risk of Severe COVID-19.

Lin Pin Koh, Travis Ren Teen Chia, Samuel Sherng Young Wang, Jean-Marc Chavatte, Robert Hawkins, Yonghan Ting, Jordan Zheng Ting Sim, Wen Xiang Chen, Kelvin Bryan Tan, Cher Heng Tan and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Lin Pin KohNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.
Travis Ren Teen ChiaNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.
Samuel Sherng Young WangNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-1013-7364
Jean-Marc ChavatteNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-0003-541X
Robert HawkinsDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore 308433, Singapore.
Yonghan TingDepartment of Radiology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore 308433, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-8682-9914
Jordan Zheng Ting SimDepartment of Radiology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore 308433, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-4164-1643
Wen Xiang ChenDepartment of Radiology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore 308433, Singapore.
Kelvin Bryan TanMinistry of Health, 16 College Road, College of Medicine Building, Singapore 169854, Singapore.
Cher Heng TanNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.
David Chien LyeNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-0324-0205
Barnaby E YoungNational Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore 308442, Singapore.

Funding

Singapore National Medical Research Council COVID19RF-008
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The ISARIC 4C Mortality score was developed to predict mortality risk among patients with COVID-19. Its performance among vaccinated individuals is understudied. This is a retrospective study of all patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection admitted to the National Centre for Infectious Diseases, Singapore, from January-2020 to December-2021. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were extracted, and multiple logistic regression (MLR) models were developed to predict the relationship between ISARIC score, vaccination status, anti-S antibody titre, and severe COVID-19. A total of 6377 patients were identified, of which 5329 met the study eligibility criteria. The median age of the patients was 47 years (IQR 35-71), 1264 (23.7%) were female, and 1239 (25.7%) were vaccinated. Severe disease occurred in 499 (9.4%) patients, including 133 (2.5%) deaths. After stratification, 3.0% of patients with low (0-4), 17.8% of patients with moderate (5-9), and 36.2% of patients with high (≥10) ISARIC scores developed severe COVID-19. Vaccination was associated with a reduced risk of progression to severe COVID-19 in the MLR model: aOR 0.88 (95% CI: 0.86-0.90), and the risk of severe COVID-19 decreased inversely to anti-S antibody titres. The anti-S antibody titre should be further investigated as an adjunct to the ISARIC score to triage COVID-19 patients for hospital admission and antiviral therapy.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralCOVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesSARS-CoV-2VaccinationAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexSingaporeAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesCOVID-19ISARICmodellingSARS-CoV-2serologyvaccination

Identifiers

PMID39459939
PMCPMC11512353

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.