Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39453541›Full record

SynthesisEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2025

Incidence of and risk factors for lumbar disc herniation with radiculopathy in adults: a systematic review.

Cesar A Hincapié, Daniela Kroismayr, Léonie Hofstetter, Astrid Kurmann, Carol Cancelliere, Y Raja Rampersaud, Eleanor Boyle, George A Tomlinson, Alejandro R Jadad, Jan Hartvigsen and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07646379 (Effects of Spinal Mobilization With Leg Movement With and Without Neural Flossing Technique on Pain, Disability, and Range of Motion in Patients With Lumbar Radiculopathy), which is not on this map. Cited by 47 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
47citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07646379 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Effects of Spinal Mobilization With Leg Movement With and Without Neural Flossing Technique on Pain, Disability, and Range of Motion in Patients With Lumbar Radiculopathy

TypeinterventionalSponsorRiphah International UniversityRan2026 to 2026Enrolled36ConditionsLumbar RadiculopathyArmsSMWLM along with Neural flossing technique, SMWLM without Neural flossing technique
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

47 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Anatomy of the basivertebral nerve and its implications in the vertebrogenic pain. Systematic review and mapping of evidence.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
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  15. Lumbar Disc Herniation: What's New in Surgical Treatment.Revista brasileira de ortopedia · 2026
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  19. [Comparison of effectiveness between visualized reamer foraminoplasty and transforaminal endoscopic spine system technique in transforminal endoscopic lumbar discectomy for lumbar disc herniation].Zhongguo xiu fu chong jian wai ke za zhi = Zhongguo xiufu chongjian waike zazhi = Chinese journal of reparative and reconstructive surgery · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Cesar A Hincapié *EBPI-UWZH Musculoskeletal Epidemiology Research Group, University of Zurich and Balgrist University Hospital, Zurich, Switzerland. cesar.hincapie@uzh.ch.ORCID 0000-0002-7257-8122
Daniela Kroismayr *EBPI-UWZH Musculoskeletal Epidemiology Research Group, University of Zurich and Balgrist University Hospital, Zurich, Switzerland.
Léonie HofstetterEBPI-UWZH Musculoskeletal Epidemiology Research Group, University of Zurich and Balgrist University Hospital, Zurich, Switzerland.
Astrid KurmannEBPI-UWZH Musculoskeletal Epidemiology Research Group, University of Zurich and Balgrist University Hospital, Zurich, Switzerland.
Carol CancelliereInstitute for Disability and Rehabilitation Research and Faculty of Health Sciences, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, Canada.
Y Raja RampersaudSchroeder Arthritis Institute, Division of Orthopaedic Surgery, Toronto Western Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada.
Eleanor BoyleThunderbird Partnership Foundation, London, Canada.
George A TomlinsonDivision of Epidemiology, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Alejandro R JadadVivenxia Group LLD, Los Angeles, USA.
Jan HartvigsenCenter for Muscle and Joint Health, Department of Sports Science and Clinical Biomechanics, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Pierre CôtéInstitute for Disability and Rehabilitation Research and Faculty of Health Sciences, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, Canada.
J David CassidyDivision of Epidemiology, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.

Funding

CIHR 200902KPD-205299-111612
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLumbar disc herniation (LDH) with radiculopathy is associated with greater pain, disability, healthcare use, and costs compared with nonspecific low back pain. Reliable information about its incidence and risk factors were lacking. QUESTIONS: (1) What is the incidence of lumbar disc herniation (LDH) with radiculopathy in adults? (2) What are the risk factors for LDH with radiculopathy in adults?

methodsSystematic review. We searched five electronic databases from 1970 to September 2023. Eligible cohort and case-control studies were identified and independently assessed for risk of bias. A qualitative best evidence synthesis of low and moderate risk of bias studies was conducted.

resultsWe critically reviewed 87 studies and synthesised data from 59 (68%) studies; 12 were of low and 47 of moderate risk of bias. The lower and upper bound limits of the 95% CIs of annual incidence estimates ranged from 0.3 to 2.7 per 1000 persons for surgical case definitions, from 0.04 to 1.5 per 1,000 persons for hospital-based case definitions, and from 0.1 to 298.3 per 1,000 persons for clinical case definitions. Factors associated with the development of LDH with radiculopathy included middle-age (30-50 years), smoking, higher BMI, presence of cardiovascular risk factors (in women), and greater cumulative occupational lumbar load by forward bending postures and manual materials handling, with effect sizes ranging from ranging from 1.1 (1.0-1.3) to 3.7 (2.3-6.0).

conclusionsIncidence of LDH varies in different populations and according to case definition. Risk factors include individual, behavioural, and work-related variables. Our findings support the need to develop standardised case definitions that validly classify the clinical spectrum of LDH and for future low risk of bias studies examining causal relationships for LDH with radiculopathy in adults.

Indexed as

Intervertebral Disc DisplacementLumbar VertebraeRadiculopathyAdultHumansIncidenceRisk FactorsBack painIncidenceRadiculopathyRisk factorsSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID39453541
PMCPMC11754359

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.