Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39450743›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2024

Cost-Utility Analysis of Low-Dose Pioglitazone in a Population With Prediabetes and a History of Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack.

Fei Yuan, J David Spence, Jean-Eric Tarride

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Cost-effectiveness of implementing the National Health Service England Diabetes Prevention Programme in Canada: a modelling study.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Fei YuanPopulation Health Research Institute, DBCVSRI Hamilton ON Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5408-8261
J David SpenceNeurology & Clinical Pharmacology Western University London ON Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7478-1098
Jean-Eric TarrideDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact, McMaster Chair in Health Technology Management McMaster University Hamilton ON Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPioglitazone significantly reduces the risk of stroke in people with diabetes, and in those with prediabetes, it markedly reduces the risk of stroke/myocardial infarction and new-onset diabetes. Low-dose pioglitazone provides most of the clinical benefits of high-dose pioglitazone, with fewer adverse effects. We report an economic evaluation of the cost-effectiveness of low-dose pioglitazone versus placebo from a Canadian public payer perspective in 2023 Canadian dollars. METHODS AND

resultsA Markov model was developed at a lifetime horizon with an annual cycle length and 5 health states (event-free, myocardial infarction, stroke, new-onset diabetes, and death). Transition probabilities were extracted from the IRIS (Insulin Resistance Intervention in Stroke) trial. Health state costs and utilities were based on public sources. Annual discount rates of 1.5% were applied in the reference-case analysis. Probabilistic analyses were conducted to deal with parameter uncertainty through 5000 simulations. The costs were estimated as $24 887 (interquartile range [IQR], $14 632-$41507) for low-dose pioglitazone and $57 301 (IQR, $48 730-$67368) for placebo, resulting in a cost saving of -$30 287 (IQR, -$43 374 to -$14 587) in favor of low-dose pioglitazone. Quality-adjusted life years were estimated as 25.99 (IQR, 24.56-26.81) for the low-dose pioglitazone and 19.44 (IQR, 18.68-20.13) for placebo, resulting in a difference of 6.37 (IQR, 5.07-7.36) in favor of low-dose pioglitazone. Consistent findings were observed from scenario analyses and 1-way probability sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsHolding across a wide range of values in modeling parameters, low-dose pioglitazone is found as the dominant strategy versus a placebo.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisHypoglycemic AgentsIschemic Attack, TransientMarkov ChainsPioglitazonePrediabetic StateQuality-Adjusted Life YearsStrokeAgedCanadaDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Drug CostsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedHypoglycemic AgentsPioglitazone5‐state aggregate Markov modelcost‐utility analysisincremental cost‐effect ratioincremental effect of outcomeincremental mean costprobability analysisquality‐adjusted life year (QALY) difference

Identifiers

PMID39450743
PMCPMC11935695

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.