ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2024
Establishment of a prediction model for venous thromboembolism in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease based on serum homocysteine levels and Wells scores: a retrospective cohort study.
Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Risk Factors Associated With Venous Thromboembolism in Individuals With COPD: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/HemostasisPooled it
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3 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundWe evaluated the diagnostic value of homocysteine (Hcy) levels combined with the Wells score and established a prediction model for venous thromboembolism (VTE) occurrence in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) based on the Hcy level and the Wells score. PATIENTS AND
methodsClinical information from 914 patients with AECOPD was retrospectively collected in our hospital from June 2020 to October 2023. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted to evaluate the diagnostic ability of Hcy concentrations combined with Wells scores and the prediction ability of the model. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to explore the effects of Hcy levels and the Wells score on VTE occurrence. A nomogram was established for individual risk evaluation.
resultsHcy levels and Wells scores were significantly greater in the VTE group than in the non-VTE group (P < 0.001). The diagnostic ability of Hcy levels combined with the Wells score was greater than that Hcy levels or the Wells score alone. The AUC of the combined parameters was 0.935, with a sensitivity of 0.864 and a specificity of 0.855. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that elevated Hcy levels (OR:5.17, 95%CI: 3.76-7.09, P < 0.001) and Wells score (OR: 5.26, 95%CI: 3.22-8.59, P < 0.001) were independently associated with the risk of developing VTE in AECOPD patients. Decision curve analysis indicated that the net benefit of the nonadherence prediction nomogram was greater than that of the models adjusted for no or all variables, with a threshold of approximately 0.1-1.0.
conclusionsThe established prediction model can be used to evaluate an individual's risk of developing VTE on the basis of the Hcy level, Wells score, and clinical parameters. AECOPD patients may benefit from the early intervention based on estimated risk probability.
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