Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39448578›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Warming exacerbates global inequality in forest carbon and nitrogen cycles.

Jinglan Cui, Ouping Deng, Miao Zheng, Xiuming Zhang, Zihao Bian, Naiqing Pan, Hanqin Tian, Jianming Xu, Baojing Gu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Constrained Forest Methane Sink by Thermal Adaptation of Soil Methanotrophs.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
    Article
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  3. Joint control of precipitation and CONature communications · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jinglan CuiCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8487-0331
Ouping DengCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Miao ZhengCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Xiuming ZhangCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1961-3339
Zihao BianSchiller Institute for Integrated Science and Society, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2310-3662
Naiqing PanSchiller Institute for Integrated Science and Society, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA.
Hanqin TianSchiller Institute for Integrated Science and Society, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1806-4091
Jianming XuCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2954-9764
Baojing GuCollege of Environmental and Resource Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China. bjgu@zju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3986-3519

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42261144001National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42325707
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Forests are invaluable natural resources that provide essential services to humanity. However, the effects of global warming on forest carbon and nitrogen cycling remain uncertain. Here we project a decrease in total nitrogen input and accumulation by 7 ± 2 and 28 ± 9 million tonnes (Tg), respectively, and an increase in reactive nitrogen losses to the environment by 9 ± 3 Tg for 2100 due to warming in a fossil-fueled society. This would compromise the global carbon sink capacity by 0.45 ± 0.14 billion tonnes annually. Furthermore, warming-induced inequality in forest carbon and nitrogen cycles could widen the economic gap between the Global South and Global North. High-income countries are estimated to gain US$179 billion in benefits from forest assets under warming, while other regions could face net damages of US$31 billion. Implementing climate-smart forest management, such as comprehensive restoration and optimizing tree species composition, is imperative in the face of future climate change.

Identifiers

PMID39448578
PMCPMC11502895

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.