Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39447096›Full record

SynthesisJCO precision oncology2024

Prostate Cancer Risk Stratification in NRG Oncology Phase III Randomized Trials Using Multimodal Deep Learning With Digital Histopathology.

Jonathan David Tward, Huei-Chung Huang, Andre Esteva, Osama Mohamad, Douwe van der Wal, Jeffry P Simko, Sandy DeVries, Jingbin Zhang, Songwan Joun, Timothy N Showalter and 10 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in JCO precision oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  14. The contemporary management of prostate cancer.CA: a cancer journal for clinicians
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Jonathan David TwardDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT.ORCID 0000-0001-7765-4473
Huei-Chung HuangArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Andre EstevaArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Osama MohamadDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-2972-657X
Douwe van der WalArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.ORCID 0000-0003-2323-1357
Jeffry P SimkoDepartment of Urology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.
Sandy DeVriesNRG Oncology Biospecimen Bank, San Francisco, CA.
Jingbin ZhangArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Songwan JounArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Timothy N ShowalterArtera, Inc, Los Altos, CA.
Edward M SchaefferDepartment of Urology, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL.
Todd M MorganDivision of Urologic Oncology, University of Michigan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, MI.ORCID 0000-0002-1140-0603
Jedidiah M MonsonDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Saint Agnes Medical Center, Fresno, CA.
James A WallaceIngalls Memorial Hospital, Harvey, IL.
Jean-Paul BaharyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, CHUM-Centre Hospitalier de l'Universite de Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Howard M SandlerDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-8193-5769
Daniel E SprattDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH.ORCID 0000-0002-5973-4741
Joseph P RodgersNRG Oncology Statistics and Data Management Center, American College of Radiology, Philadelphia, PA.
Felix Y FengDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-0963-7687
Phuoc T TranDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD.ORCID 0000-0002-0147-0376

Funding

NRG Oncology Network Group Operations Center - GY9 BIQSFP Reports/BudgetsU10CA180868 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI NORMAN WOLMARK · 2014 to 2026
$206.8M
Statistics CoreU10CA180822 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI James J. Dignam, GREG YOTHERS · 2014 to 2026
$146.4M
NRG Oncology NCORP Research Base-BIQSFPUG1CA189867 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Deborah Watkins Bruner, Lisa A. Kachnic · 2014 to 2026
$140.5M
NRG Oncology Biospecimen BankU24CA196067 · NCI · NRG ONCOLOGY FOUNDATION, INC. · PI Tanner J. Freeman, Nilsa Del Carmen Ramirez Milan · 2015 to 2026
$42.6M
Resource Sharing CoreU54CA273956 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND BALTIMORE · PI Phuoc T. Tran · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
UM LAPs -UG1 GrantUG1CA233160 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ANNE F SCHOTT · 2019 to 2026
$5.4M
NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180822NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180868NCI NIH HHS U24 CA196067NCI NIH HHS U54 CA273956NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189867NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233160
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCurrent clinical risk stratification methods for localized prostate cancer are suboptimal, leading to over- and undertreatment. Recently, machine learning approaches using digital histopathology have shown superior prognostic ability in phase III trials. This study aims to develop a clinically usable risk grouping system using multimodal artificial intelligence (MMAI) models that outperform current National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) risk groups. MATERIALS AND

methodsThe cohort comprised 9,787 patients with localized prostate cancer from eight NRG Oncology randomized phase III trials, treated with radiation therapy, androgen deprivation therapy, and/or chemotherapy. Locked MMAI models, which used digital histopathology images and clinical data, were applied to each patient. Expert consensus on cut points defined low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups on the basis of 10-year distant metastasis rates of 3% and 10%, respectively. The MMAI's reclassification and prognostic performance were compared with the three-tier NCCN risk groups.

resultsThe median follow-up for censored patients was 7.9 years. According to NCCN risk categories, 30.4% of patients were low-risk, 25.5% intermediate-risk, and 44.1% high-risk. The MMAI risk classification identified 43.5% of patients as low-risk, 34.6% as intermediate-risk, and 21.8% as high-risk. MMAI reclassified 1,039 (42.0%) patients initially categorized by NCCN. Despite the MMAI low-risk group being larger than the NCCN low-risk group, the 10-year metastasis risks were comparable: 1.7% (95% CI, 0.2 to 3.2) for NCCN and 3.2% (95% CI, 1.7 to 4.7) for MMAI. The overall 10-year metastasis risk for NCCN high-risk patients was 16.6%, with MMAI further stratifying this group into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, showing metastasis rates of 3.4%, 8.2%, and 26.3%, respectively.

conclusionThe MMAI risk grouping system expands the population of men identified as having low metastatic risk and accurately pinpoints a high-risk subset with elevated metastasis rates. This approach aims to prevent both overtreatment and undertreatment in localized prostate cancer, facilitating shared decision making.

Indexed as

Deep LearningProstatic NeoplasmsAgedClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicHumansMaleMiddle AgedRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID39447096
PMCPMC11520341

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.