Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39447061›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences2024

Longitudinal Changes in Peak Expiratory Flow Predict Risk for Incident Dementia.

Patrick T Donahue, Aparna Balasubramanian, Qian-Li Xue, Jennifer A Schrack, Michelle C Carlson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Patrick T DonahueDepartment of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3994-7384
Aparna BalasubramanianDivision of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Qian-Li XueCenter on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8818-7444
Jennifer A SchrackCenter on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9244-9267
Michelle C CarlsonDepartment of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

Funding

The National Health and Trends StudyU01AG032947 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI VICKI A. FREEDMAN, JENNIFER ANN SCHRACK · 2008 to 2026
$169.4M
Research Education ComponentP30AG066507 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI PAUL F WORLEY · 2020 to 2026
$29.3M
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND BIOSTATISTICS OF AGINGT32AG000247 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Karen J. Bandeen-Roche · 1996 to 2026
$13.2M
Pulmonary Vascular Disease as a Contributor to Respiratory Morbidity in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary DiseaseK23HL153778 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Aparna Balasubramanian · 2022 to 2026
$991k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL153778NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066507NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000247NIA NIH HHS T32AG000247NIA NIH HHS U01 AG032947
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImpaired respiratory function, measured via peak expiratory flow (PEF), has been associated with increased dementia risk. However, much of the current literature uses cross-sectional measures of PEF, whereas longitudinal relationships between changes in respiratory function and dementia risk are underexplored.

methodsUsing 10 years of data (2011-2021) from 2 439 adults ages 65 and older in the National Health and Aging Trends Study, we examined whether 5-year changes in PEF (2011-2016) were associated with risk for incident dementia over the subsequent 5-year period (2017-2021). PEF slopes for each participant were estimated using linear mixed-effects models and then grouped into quartiles: rapid, moderate, mild, and no declines. Discrete-time Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the risk for incident dementia by PEF slope category while controlling for several health and sociodemographic characteristics.

resultsAfter excluding dementia cases during the exposure window (2011-2016), we identified 338 cases of incident dementia (13.9%) between 2017-2021. Rapid PEF declines between 2011-2016 were associated with 85% higher risk for incident dementia between 2017-2021 compared to those with no declines in PEF (hazard ratio = 1.85; 95% confidence interval [1.24, 2.76]). Results were robust to several sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsThese findings demonstrate that declines in PEF may precede declines in cognition, suggesting that respiratory function may be an important dementia risk factor in older adults. Additionally, these findings highlight the utility of measuring PEF via a peak flow meter, which is a simple and inexpensive measure of respiratory function.

Indexed as

DementiaAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMalePeak Expiratory Flow RateProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited StatesCardiovascularCognitionEpidemiologyPulmonary

Identifiers

PMID39447061
PMCPMC11655845

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.