ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2025
US Primary Care Workforce Growth: A Decade of Limited Progress, and Projected Needs Through 2040.
Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Organizational Interventions to Address Primary Care Provider Burnout: A Systematic Review.Medical care research and review : MCRR · 2026Pooled it
- The Power of Primary Care to Improve Health.Annals of family medicine · 2026Article
- The Role of Psychoeducation in Addressing Physician Shortages.The Permanente journal · 2026Article
- Generative AI Needs a Pilot: Positioning Advanced Practice Nurses as the "Human-in-the-Loop" for Primary Care Safety.JMA journal · 2026Article
- H-1B Visa Restrictions and US Primary Care Dependence on International Medical Graduates.JAMA network open · 2026Article
- Firsthand Accounts of Practicing Generalists-Internal Medicine Residency and the 'Leap of Faith' into Primary Care.Journal of general internal medicine · 2026Article
- Reclassifying Primary Care: A Decision Tree Approach to Improving Workforce Estimates and Research Using Claims Data.Journal of general internal medicine · 2026Article
- A Patient Panel Assignment Strategy to Balance Provider Workload in Family Medicine.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Evaluating the Acceptability of Virtual Preventive Genetic Counseling Supporting Adult Primary Care Practices.Journal of general internal medicine · 2026Article
- Layers of complexity: a directed content analysis of implementation determinants for integrative group medical visits for patients with chronic pain in safety-net primary care.BMC primary care · 2026Article
- Factors Influencing Quality Improvement Success in Primary Care: A Comparative Case Study of High- and Low-Performing Sites in Patient Hypertension Outcomes.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2026Article
- Family Medicine Residency Match Is Not a "Field of Dreams".Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine : JABFM · 2026Article
- Primary care unattachment: impact on mortality, hospitalizations and costs.Health affairs scholar · 2026Article
- Turning problems into progress for primary care research trainees: a mixed-methods analysis of an online cross-sectional survey.Frontiers in medicine · 2026Article
- Healthcare professionals' perspectives on usefulness, acceptability and implementation conditions of socially assistive robots in France: a cross-sectional survey and cluster analysis.Frontiers in digital health · 2026Article
- NextGenDO: A Pre-medical Outreach Program to Promote Early Exposure to Osteopathic Medicine.Cureus · 2025Article
- Senior Residents' Perspectives and Intentions to Teach in Outpatient Primary Care Settings.Journal of general internal medicine · 2025Article
- Evaluation of College of Medicine Students' Perception of a Subscription-Based Model of Primary Care Delivery.Cureus · 2025Article
- Treatment variability for shoulder pain between physician and non-physician clinicians based on initial setting and specific shoulder diagnosis: a health system analysis.BMC health services research · 2025Observational
- Milestones Progression of International Medical Graduates in Family Medicine.Family medicine · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundDespite efforts to mitigate a projected primary care physician (PCP) shortage required to meet an aging, growing, and increasingly insured population, shortages remain, compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic, growing inequity, and persistent underinvestment.
objectiveWe examined primary care workforce trends over the past decade and revisited projected primary care clinician workforce needs through the year 2040. DESIGN AND
participantsUsing data from the AMA Masterfile and Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), we analyzed trends in the number of primary care physicians (PCPs) and in outpatient PCP visits by age and gender over the past decade. We then used the Medicare PECOS and Physician & Other Practitioners datasets to identify nurse practitioners (NPs) and physician assistants (PAs) in primary care. MEASURES: Using these baseline clinician enumerations and projected population growth estimates from the US Census Bureau for the years 2020-2040, we calculated estimated primary care workforce needs by 2040. KEY
resultsThe effects of aging and population growth and baseline shortages in the primary care workforce call for significant increases in the primary care workforce to accommodate rising demands. Office visits to primary care clinicians are projected to increase from 773,606 in 2020 to 893,098 in 2040. We project a need for an additional 57,559 primary care clinicians by 2040.
conclusionsWorkforce shortages in primary care continue to expand due to population aging, growth, and heightened rates of clinician burnout & egress.
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