Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39440125›Full record

ReviewJournal of the Royal Society of New Zealand2024

Climate change impacts on Aotearoa New Zealand: a horizon scan approach.

Cate Macinnis-Ng, Ilze Ziedins, Hamza Ajmal, W Troy Baisden, Shaun Hendy, Adrian McDonald, Rebecca Priestley, Rhian A Salmon, Emma L Sharp, Jonathan D Tonkin and 3 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Evo-devo and the Biodiversity Crisis.Results and problems in cell differentiation · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Cate Macinnis-NgTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3935-9814
Ilze ZiedinsTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7615-4418
Hamza AjmalTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8527-5884
W Troy BaisdenTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1814-1306
Shaun HendyTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3468-6517
Adrian McDonaldTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1456-6254
Rebecca PriestleyTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-5059
Rhian A SalmonTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4402-551X
Emma L SharpTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4052-6918
Jonathan D TonkinTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6053-291X
Sandra VelardeTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9599-3882
Krushil Watene Ngāti Manu Te Hikutu Ngāti Whātua Ōrākei TongaTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2837-7574
William GodsoeTe Pūnaha Matatini, Centre for Research Excellence in Complex Systems, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1697-6916

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many of the implications of climate change for Aotearoa (New Zealand) remain unclear. To identify so-far unseen or understudied threats and opportunities related to climate change we applied a horizon-scanning process. First, we collated 171 threats and opportunities across our diverse fields of research. We then scored each item for novelty and potential impact and finally reduced the list to ten threats and ten opportunities through a prioritisation process. Within the 20 items presented in this paper, we uncover a range of climate-related costs and benefits. Unexpected opportunities evolve from economic reorganisation and changes to perspectives. The threats we highlight include the overall failure to interconnect siloed policy responses, as well as those relating to extreme events and feedbacks, as well as pressures that undermine the coherence of society. A major theme of our work is that climate change effects in Aotearoa are likely to transgress the boundaries of research disciplines, industry sectors and policy systems, emphasising the importance of developing transdisciplinary methods and approaches. We use this insight to connect potential responses to climate change with Aotearoa's culture and geography.

Indexed as

adaptationClimate changeclimate consequencescomplex systemsextreme eventsmitigationtransdisciplinarity

Identifiers

PMID39440125
PMCPMC11459771

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.