Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39440123›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society of New Zealand2024

Melting ice and rising seas - connecting projected change in Antarctica's ice sheets to communities in Aotearoa New Zealand.

Richard Levy, Timothy Naish, Daniel Lowry, Rebecca Priestley, Rachelle Winefield, Alanna Alevropolous-Borrill, Emory Beck, Rob Bell, Graeme Blick, Ruzica Dadic and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Richard LevyGNS Science - Te Pu Ao, Lower Hutt, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8783-0167
Timothy NaishAntarctic Research Centre, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Daniel LowryGNS Science - Te Pu Ao, Lower Hutt, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9668-0850
Rebecca PriestleySchool of Science in Society, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6390-5059
Rachelle WinefieldToitū Te Whenua Land Information New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand.
Alanna Alevropolous-BorrillAntarctic Research Centre, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Emory BeckToitū Te Whenua Land Information New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand.
Rob BellBell Adapt Ltd, Hamilton, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8490-8942
Graeme BlickToitū Te Whenua Land Information New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand.
Ruzica DadicAntarctic Research Centre, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Tasman GilliesTakiwa Data Analytics, Auckland, New Zealand.
Nicholas GolledgeAntarctic Research Centre, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Zoe HeineSchool of Science in Society, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6800-9165
Stefan JendersieAntarctic Research Centre, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Judy LawrenceClimate Change Research Institute, Te Herenga Waka - Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6798-3636
Katherine O'LearyGNS Science - Te Pu Ao, Lower Hutt, New Zealand.
Ryan PaulikNational Institute of Water and Atmosphere, Wellington, New Zealand.
Ceridwyn RobertsCeridwyn Roberts Science Communication, Wellington, New Zealand.
Mike TaitokoTakiwa Data Analytics, Auckland, New Zealand.
Natalie TraylingGNS Science - Te Pu Ao, Lower Hutt, New Zealand.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changes in global mean sea level are a clear indicator of a warming climate, but local factors including land subsidence or uplift, cause changes in relative sea level that drive shoreline shifts. These local changes and their impact on coastal hazards matter to coastal communities. NZ SeaRise produced relative sea level projections for Aotearoa to include the latest global climate and Antarctic Ice Sheet research and estimates of vertical land movement at high spatial resolution. Research-informed communication to the public and planners included a web-based projections tool supplemented by written and visual narratives, and a media engagement plan. This communication, and analysis of media impact, provided a case study for audience-relevant information on sea-level rise. Information regarding shoreline change and evolving hazards, required for risk assessment, was not included in the NZ SeaRise projections. New research is needed to reduce uncertainty in future Antarctic Ice Sheet contribution to sea level, link changes in sea surface height to our dynamic land surface and enhance communication approaches. Several examples of the required research are presented here but ongoing efforts must refine the timing and magnitude of coastline change, better define coastal hazards and risks, and develop appropriate adaptation strategies for unavoidable climate change impacts.

Indexed as

Sea-level rise, Antarctica, ice sheets, coastal adaptation, science communication

Identifiers

PMID39440123
PMCPMC11459780

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.