Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39435397›Full record

ArticleGlobal epidemiology2024

Comparing AI/ML approaches and classical regression for predictive modeling using large population health databases: Applications to COVID-19 case prediction.

Lise M Bjerre, Cayden Peixoto, Rawan Alkurd, Robert Talarico, Rami Abielmona

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Lise M BjerreInstitut du Savoir Montfort, 713, chemin Montréal, Ottawa, Ontario K1K 0T2, Canada.
Cayden PeixotoInstitut du Savoir Montfort, 713, chemin Montréal, Ottawa, Ontario K1K 0T2, Canada.
Rawan AlkurdLarus Technologies Corporation, 170 Laurier Ave West, Suite 310 Ottawa, Ontario K1P 5V5, Canada.
Robert TalaricoInstitute for Clinical and Evaluative Sciences (ICES), 1053 Carling Avenue, Box 684, Administrative Services Building, 1st Floor, Ottawa, Ontario K1Y 4E9, Canada.
Rami AbielmonaLarus Technologies Corporation, 170 Laurier Ave West, Suite 310 Ottawa, Ontario K1P 5V5, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Research comparing artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) methods with classical statistical methods applied to large population health databases is limited. Objectives: This retrospective cohort study aimed to compare the predictive performance of AI/ML algorithms against conventional multivariate logistic regression models using linked health administrative data. Methods: Using Ontario's population health databases, we created a cohort of residents of the city of Ottawa, Ontario, who underwent a PCR test for COVID-19 between March 10, 2020, and May 13, 2021. Using demographic, socio-economic and health data (including COVID-19 PCR test results and available, symptom data), we developed predictive models for the purpose of COVID-19 case identification using the following approaches: classical multivariate logistic regression (LR); deep neural network (DNN); random forest (RF); and gradient boosting trees (GBT). Model performance comparisons were made using the area under the curve (AUC) swarm plot for 10-fold cross-validation. Results: The cohort consisted of Conclusions: Conventional multivariate regression-based models are better than some and worse than other machine learning algorithms to provide good predictive accuracy in a moderate dataset with a reasonable number of features. However, whenever possible, the AI/ML GBT approach should be considered.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceCOVID-19Gradient boosting treesLogistic regressionMachine learningPredictive modeling

Identifiers

PMID39435397
PMCPMC11492135

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.