Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39434432›Full record

ArticleDiabetes, obesity & metabolism2025

Association between delay in diabetes development and mortality in people with obesity: Up to 33 years follow-up of the prospective Swedish Obese Subjects study.

Lena M S Carlsson, Björn Carlsson, Peter Jacobson, Johanna C Andersson-Assarsson, Cecilia Karlsson, Felipe M Kristensson, Sofie Ahlin, Ingmar Näslund, Kristjan Karason, Per-Arne Svensson and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes, obesity & metabolism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Lena M S CarlssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4145-6242
Björn CarlssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Peter JacobsonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1769-1827
Johanna C Andersson-AssarssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9082-8589
Cecilia KarlssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Felipe M KristenssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Sofie AhlinInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-0619-2683
Ingmar NäslundDepartment of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3644-3319
Kristjan KarasonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Per-Arne SvenssonInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6731-806X
Magdalena TaubeInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7944-9673
Markku PeltonenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-3767-4223
Kajsa SjöholmInstitute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-0146-8193

Funding

Adlerbertska Research FoundationDiabetesfonden 2019-417Health and Medical Care Committee of the Regional Executive Board, Region Västra Götaland VGFOUREG-931560Health and Medical Care Committee of the Regional Executive Board, Region Västra Götaland VGFOUREG-941125Hjärt-Lungfonden 20210186Svenska Diabetesförbundetthe Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the county councils, the ALF-agreement ALFGBG-965046the Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the county councils, the ALF-agreement ALFGBG-965955the Swedish state under the agreement between the Swedish government and the county councils, the ALF-agreement ALFGBG-966076Vetenskapsrådet 2020-01303Vetenskapsrådet 2021-01496
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsLife expectancy is reduced in people with obesity and is further reduced in those with concomitant type 2 diabetes. The aim of the study was to assess whether a 2-year delay in diabetes development influences life expectancy in people with obesity. MATERIALS AND

methodsParticipants from the Swedish Obese Subjects study without diabetes at baseline and known diabetes status at the 2-year follow-up were included: bariatric surgery (n = 1471) and usual obesity care (n = 1392). Median follow-up was 26.1 years (interquartile range: 22.7-28.7 years). The Swedish Cause of Death Register, case sheets and autopsy reports were assessed to determine the direct cause of death. Analyses were adjusted for preselected risk factors: inclusion year, sex, baseline age, body mass index (BMI) and smoking.

resultsAcross both study arms, 146 participants were newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes at the 2-year examination, whereas 2717 remained diabetes-free. Most participants diagnosed with diabetes (n = 140) were from the usual care control group. During the follow-up, there were 18.3 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]:14.1-23.9) in the group with diagnosed diabetes at the 2-year follow-up and 10.9 deaths per 1000 person-years (95% CI:10.2-11.8) in the group that remained diabetes-free (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj] 1.60, 95% CI: 1.19-2.15, p = 0.002). The adjusted median life expectancy in the diabetes group was 3.7 years (95% CI: 1.4-6.0, p = 0.002) shorter than in the diabetes-free group. Specifically, cardiovascular mortality was higher in the group with diabetes (adj sub-hazard ratio [sub-HR] 1.74 [95% CI: 1.09-2.77], p = 0.021).

conclusionsA 2-year delay in diabetes development may be linked to increased life expectancy, possibly due to a reduction in cardiovascular mortality. Future studies should confirm these findings.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Life ExpectancyObesityAdultBariatric SurgeryBody Mass IndexCause of DeathFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSwedenTime Factorsbariatric surgeryclinical trialdiabetes complicationsobesity therapytype 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39434432
PMCPMC11618289

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.