Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39434385›Full record

ArticleSingapore medical journal2026

Predictive factors for interstitial lung disease progression in a Singapore systemic sclerosis cohort: a multicentre study.

Maria Noviani, Seyed Ehsan Saffari, Gim Gee Teng, Xin Rong Lim, Grace Yin Lai Chan, Amelia Santosa, Cassandra Hong, Sue-Ann Ng, Andrea Hsiu Ling Low

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Singapore medical journal, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Exploratory evaluation of earlyEuropean journal of nuclear medicine and molecular imaging · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Maria NovianiDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.
Seyed Ehsan SaffariCenter for Quantitative Medicine, Duke-NUS Medical School, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
Gim Gee TengDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, National University Health System, Singapore.
Xin Rong LimDepartment of Rheumatology, Allergy and Immunology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Grace Yin Lai ChanDepartment of Rheumatology, Allergy and Immunology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Amelia SantosaDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, National University Health System, Singapore.
Cassandra HongDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.
Sue-Ann NgDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.
Andrea Hsiu Ling LowDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionInterstitial lung disease (ILD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is heterogeneous with varied progression rate. This study aimed to identify the baseline clinical characteristics associated with ILD progression within 1, 3 and 5 years of the diagnosis of ILD.

methodsThis was a prospective, multicentre study - Systematic Sclerosis Cohort Singapore - conducted from January 2008 to February 2021, which included SSc patients with ILD diagnosed by high-resolution computed tomography. Progression of ILD was defined by forced vital capacity (FVC) decline ≥10% predicted or FVC decline 5%-9% predicted, with diffusing lung capacity of carbon monoxide decline ≥15% from the time of ILD diagnosis. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses, adjusting for malignancy and treatment, were performed to determine independent risk factors of ILD progression.

resultsOf 124 SSc patients with ILD, 47.6% had limited cutaneous SSc, 33.9% had diffuse SSc and 18.5% had SSc-overlap. Progression of ILD was seen in 6%, 15% and 23% of patients within 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. After adjusting for malignancy and treatment, anti-La was associated with ILD progression within 1 year (odds ratio [OR] 6.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14-42.2; P = 0.04) and 3 years (OR 5.98, 95% CI: 1.31-27.4; P = 0.02), and anti-Scl-70 was associated with ILD progression within 5 years (OR 2.54, 95% CI: 1.05-6.12; P = 0.04). Analysing time to ILD progression as an outcome, anti-La was significantly associated with higher risk of ILD progression (hazard ratio 3.47, 95% CI: 1.18-10.2; P = 0.02). Time to ILD progression was 1.4 years in patients with anti-La versus 6.9 years in patients without anti-La ( P = 0.02), and 4.7 years in patients with anti-Scl-70 versus 8.9 years in patients without anti-Scl-70 ( P = 0.12).

conclusionIn this Asian cohort of SSc patients, autoantibodies may help to predict ILD progression rates.

Indexed as

Lung Diseases, InterstitialScleroderma, SystemicAdultAgedDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSingaporeTomography, X-Ray ComputedVital CapacityInterstitial lung diseasepredictorsrisk factorssystemic sclerosis

Identifiers

PMID39434385
PMCPMC12908898

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.