Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39434002›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

Unraveling the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the mortality trends in Belgium between 2020-2022.

Yessika Adelwin Natalia, Johan Verbeeck, Christel Faes, Thomas Neyens, Geert Molenberghs

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yessika Adelwin NataliaData Science Institute, I-Biostat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium. yessikaadelwin.natalia@uhasselt.be.
Johan VerbeeckData Science Institute, I-Biostat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.
Christel FaesData Science Institute, I-Biostat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.
Thomas NeyensData Science Institute, I-Biostat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.
Geert MolenberghsData Science Institute, I-Biostat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOver the past four years, the COVID-19 pandemic has exerted a profound impact on public health, including on mortality trends. This study investigates mortality patterns in Belgium by examining all-cause mortality, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality.

methodsWe retrieved all-cause mortality data from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2022, stratified by age group and sex. A linear mixed model, informed by all-cause mortality from 2009 to 2019, was used to predict non-pandemic all-cause mortality rates in 2020-2022 and estimate excess mortality. Further, we also analyzed trends in cause-specific and premature mortality.

resultsDifferent all-cause mortality patterns could be observed between the younger (<45 years) and older age groups. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was particularly evident among older age groups. The highest excess mortality occurred in 2020, while a reversal in this trend was evident in 2022. We observed a notable effect of COVID-19 on cause-specific and premature mortality patterns over the three-year period.

conclusionsDespite a consistent decline in COVID-19 reported mortality over this three-year period, it remains imperative to meticulously monitor mortality trends in the years ahead.

Indexed as

Cause of DeathCOVID-19MortalityAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBelgiumChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedBelgiumCause-specific mortalityCOVID-19Excess mortalityYears of life lost

Identifiers

PMID39434002
PMCPMC11495090

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.