Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39432488›Full record

ArticleJournal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Molecular Testing for Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules in Nova Scotia.

Colin MacKay, Brooke Turner, Scott Clarke, Timothy Wallace, Matthew H Rigby

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
  3. Review
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  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Colin MacKayDivision of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Elizabeth II Health Science Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5079-1862
Brooke TurnerDivision of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Elizabeth II Health Science Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Scott ClarkeDivision of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Elizabeth II Health Science Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Timothy WallaceDivision of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Elizabeth II Health Science Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.
Matthew H RigbyDivision of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Department of Surgery, Queen Elizabeth II Health Science Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada.ORCID 0009-0008-2900-4626

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe objective of the following retrospective review was to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of the use of molecular testing of indeterminate thyroid nodules compared to current management practices in Nova Scotia, Canada.

methodsAll cases of cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules from January 1st, 2014 to December 31st, 2018 were reviewed. All interventions related to an indeterminate thyroid nodule were recorded. Patients were excluded if less than 18 years old if no further information regarding medical management was electronically available beyond the diagnosis of an indeterminate thyroid nodule, history of radiation, or previous thyroid surgery prior to diagnosis of an indeterminate thyroid nodule in the remaining lobe. Microcosting was performed to determine the cost of all relevant interventions including repeat fine needle aspiration biopsy, ultrasound, thyroid surgery(s), and molecular testing. Institution-specific transition state probabilities were calculated and used to build a cost-effectiveness analysis model. Model output was an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, defined as the ratio of cost difference to effectiveness difference between routine molecular testing and the current management strategy, yielding cost per surgery avoided.

resultsThe mean effectiveness of the current management of indeterminate thyroid nodules in Nova Scotia based on the American Thyroid Association guidelines is 64% at a mean cost of $6431, while the simulated mean effectiveness of routine molecular testing is 89% at a mean cost of $8414. Differences in management strategies generated an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $7876 per surgery avoided.

conclusionRoutine molecular testing is the more effective strategy for the appropriate management of indeterminate thyroid nodules; however, it comes at a higher mean cost compared to the current management strategy. As the cost of molecular testing continues to decrease, and the cost of OR resources continues to rise, molecular testing is likely to become the optimal strategy in Nova Scotia.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisThyroid NoduleAdultBiopsy, Fine-NeedleCost-Effectiveness AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMolecular Diagnostic TechniquesNova ScotiaRetrospective StudiesThyroidectomycost-effectivenessmolecular testingthyroid nodule

Identifiers

PMID39432488
PMCPMC11494664

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.