Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39432104›Full record

ReviewIntensive care medicine2024

Causal inference can lead us to modifiable mechanisms and informative archetypes in sepsis.

J Kenneth Baillie, Derek Angus, Katie Burnham, Thierry Calandra, Carolyn Calfee, Alex Gutteridge, Nir Hacohen, Purvesh Khatri, Raymond Langley, Avi Ma'ayan and 11 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Intensive care medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Reproducible Identification of Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia Clinical Subphenotypes.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

J Kenneth BaillieBaillie Gifford Pandemic Science Hub, Centre for Inflammation Research, The Queen's Medical Research Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-5258-793X
Derek AngusInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Katie BurnhamWellcome Sanger Institute, Hinxton, UK.
Thierry CalandraInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Carolyn CalfeeInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Alex GutteridgeComputational Biology, Novo Nordisk, Oxford, UK.
Nir HacohenHarvard University, Boston, USA.
Purvesh KhatriInstitute for Immunity, Transplantation and Infection, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Raymond LangleyCollege of Medicine, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
Avi Ma'ayanIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
John MarshallInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
David MasloveDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.
Hallie C PrescottInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Kathy RowanInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Brendon P SciclunaDepartment of Applied Biomedical Science, Faculty of Health Sciences, Mater Dei hospital, University of Malta, Msida, Malta.
Christopher SeymourInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Manu Shankar-HariIntensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Nathan ShapiroInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
W Joost WiersingaInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Mervyn SingerInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.
Adrienne G RandolphInternational Sepsis Forum, Murphy, NC, USA.

Funding

Sepsis subtypes: biology, treatment, and bedside applicationR35GM119519 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Christopher W. Seymour · 2016 to 2026
$4.9M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM119519Wellcome Trust 223164
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Medical progress is reflected in the advance from broad clinical syndromes to mechanistically coherent diagnoses. By this metric, research in sepsis is far behind other areas of medicine-the word itself conflates multiple different disease mechanisms, whilst excluding noninfectious syndromes (e.g., trauma, pancreatitis) with similar pathogenesis. New technologies, both for deep phenotyping and data analysis, offer the capability to define biological states with extreme depth. Progress is limited by a fundamental problem: observed groupings of patients lacking shared causal mechanisms are very poor predictors of response to treatment. Here, we discuss concrete steps to identify groups of patients reflecting archetypes of disease with shared underlying mechanisms of pathogenesis. Recent evidence demonstrates the role of causal inference from host genetics and randomised clinical trials to inform stratification analyses. Genetic studies can directly illuminate drug targets, but in addition they create a reservoir of statistical power that can be divided many times among potential patient subgroups to test for mechanistic coherence, accelerating discovery of modifiable mechanisms for testing in trials. Novel approaches, such as subgroup identification in-flight in clinical trials, will improve efficiency. Within the next decade, we expect ongoing large-scale collaborative projects to discover and test therapeutically relevant sepsis archetypes.

Indexed as

SepsisCausalityHumansCausal inferenceGeneticsMachine learningSepsisStratificationTrials

Identifiers

PMID39432104
PMCPMC7616750

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.