Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39430337›Full record

ArticleTranslational lung cancer research2024

Incidence, prevalence, and survival of lung cancer in the United Kingdom from 2000-2021: a population-based cohort study.

George Corby, Nicola L Barclay, Eng Hooi Tan, Edward Burn, Antonella Delmestri, Talita Duarte-Salles, Asieh Golozar, Wai Yi Man, Ilona Tietzova, Daniel Prieto-Alhambra and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational lung cancer research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Mapping the evolution and frontiers ofTranslational lung cancer research · 2024
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

George CorbyCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Nicola L BarclayCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Eng Hooi TanCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Edward BurnCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Antonella DelmestriCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Talita Duarte-SallesFundació Institut Universitari per a la recerca a l'Atenció Primària de Salut Jordi Gol i Gurina (IDIAPJGol), Barcelona, Spain.
Asieh GolozarOdysseus Data Services, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Wai Yi ManCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Ilona TietzovaFirst Department of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.
Daniel Prieto-AlhambraCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3950-6346
Danielle NewbyCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Botnar Institute for Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-associated mortality worldwide. In the United Kingdom (UK), there has been a major reduction in smoking, the leading risk factor for lung cancer. Therefore, an up-to-date assessment of the trends of lung cancer is required in the UK. This study aims to describe lung cancer burden and trends in terms of incidence, prevalence, and survival from 2000-2021, using two UK primary care databases. Methods: We performed a population-based cohort study using the UK primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD database, compared with CPRD Aurum. Participants aged 18+ years, with 1-year of prior data availability, were included. We estimated lung cancer incidence rates (IRs), period prevalence (PP), and survival at 1, 5 and 10 years after diagnosis using the Kaplan-Meier (KM) method. Results: Overall, 11,388,117 participants, with 45,563 lung cancer cases were studied. The IR of lung cancer was 52.0 [95% confidence interval (CI): 51.5 to 52.5] per 100,000 person-years, with incidence increasing from 2000 to 2021. Females aged over 50 years of age showed increases in incidence over the study period, ranging from increases of 8 to 123 per 100,000 person-years, with the greatest increase in females aged 80-89 years. Alternatively, for males, only cohorts aged over 80 years showed increases in incidence over the study period. The highest IR was observed in people aged 80-89 years. PP in 2021 was 0.18%, with the largest rise seen in participants aged over 60 years. Median survival post-diagnosis increased from 6.6 months in those diagnosed between 2000-2004 to 10.0 months between 2015-2019. Both short and long-term survival was higher in younger cohorts, with 82.7% 1-year survival in those aged 18-29 years, versus 24.2% in the age 90+ years cohort. Throughout the study period, survival was longer in females, with a larger increase in survival over time than in males. Conclusions: The incidence and prevalence of lung cancer diagnoses in the UK have increased, especially in female and older populations, with a small increase in median survival. This study will enable future comparisons of overall disease burden, so the overall impact may be seen.

Indexed as

cancer survivalincidenceLung cancerprevalence

Identifiers

PMID39430337
PMCPMC11484731

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.